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The Expanding Role of China and India in Word Security Prognosis (Prognostic Scenarios)Informational pagesPhDr. Antonín RašekVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 3/2009, Vol. XVIII. (L.): 54-64 The theme of this study is a prognostic reply to the anticipated rise of mentioned two Asian powers from the point of international relations. Their growing power will precipitate consecutive results-the end of American leading role and coming multiple world. Will it produce world's stability or security threats? The author presents several scenarios. All take note of 9/11 attacks and a possible crash of two form of capitalism, democratic in the West and authoritarian in China and Russia. India has a special position. The economic success of those systems is a great chance for humane rights and civil liberties. World's dominance will be divided among the U.S., China, partly the EU, with strong position of regional powers, India, Japan, Indonesia, Iran, South African Union, Egypt, Brazil, Mexico and others. Russia will lose his superpower position, its internal economic and ethnical problems make it weak, and therefore Russia will attempt to form military coalition with China, which will lead to new world's bipolarity. |
Defence Principles of the Czech Republic "2030" (Informative Review)Book reviewVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 1/2009, Vol. XVIII. (L.): 175-178 Many security experts are of the opinion that the global security situation has been going worse af ter September 11, 2001. Even though Balkan wars ended, in fact, there are high tensions tied with Kosovo?s proclamation of independence, or in similar state of affairs in Macedonia. In Iraq, there some elements of improving, but in Afghanistan there are a lot of problems, we must mention tensions in Iran concerning building its nuclear capacities and missile tests, Russian-Georgian conflict, which is reflected in the policy of NATO enlargement: Georgia, the Ukraine were not accepted to NATO alliance. The reviewer highly appreciates this anthology of security studies, with the same title as this article. Editor Vlastimil Galatík, published by Defence University Brno, 2008. |
Foreign and Security Policy of the Russian Federation at the End of the First Decade of the XXIst Century and its Anticipated DevelopmentInformational pagesPhDr. Miloš Balabán, Ph.D.Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 4/2008, Vol. XVII. (XLIX.): 79-93 The study analyzes the key features of Russian policies in the late 2000s and their prospective developments. It is above all the rise of Russia's economic power, boosted by the favourable rising trend of energy prices (oil and gas) that has helped to resume again the position of one of the key world powers, obsessively pursuing its geopolitical interests in a new emerging multipolar world. This also determines its relations with other major global actors, e.g. the U.S., the EU, and China (outlined in this article). As far as military budget is concerned, it is increasing. Russia has overcome a long period of stagnancy. After 2007, they re-established strategical patrol flights off Russian territory; great effort is aimed at power projection, as a means to secure natural resources beyond Russian boarders. The study is closed by Russia's geopolitical prospects till the year 2020. and its Anticipated Development |
Wild Cards in the Future Development of Word's Security (Trends till the Year 2040)Nonreviewed - OtherPhDr. Miloš Balabán, Ph.D., PhD. Antonín RašekVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 2/2008, Vol. XVII. (XLIX.): 3-17 This opening study is written by two authors, members of Centre for Social and Economic Strategies, Faculty of Social Sciences, Charles University Prague, which is an interdisciplinary research and education unit engaged in the development of theory, methodology and practice of exploring possible futures, and the application of analyses and forecasts in decision making. The authors propose to supplement prognostic scenarios by the so-called wild cards that represent something unpredictable, extra players or actors taking part in a global politics. They compare wild cards of 2001 with the present-day situation, and then predict state of affairs till 2040, among others, the islamisation of Europe and hispanisation of the United States. The purpose of this is to promote dialogues between military and security experts, politicians, civil servants, civil sector activists, as well as individual citizens. |
The Russian Position and its Development 2020-2050 (Critical Study)Informational pagesPhDr. Miloš Balabán, Ph.D.Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 4/2006, Vol. XV. (XLVII.): 55-69 The return of Russia as a power that begins again to partake in political agenda of present-day world raises the necessity to reflect its inner developments in the background of its recent history. There are six key factors that substantionally influence the position of Russia in the world: large sources of raw materials (pipelines); outstanding military capacities (the world's second nuclear potential); high level of general education; wide scientific and research base; permanent membership in UN Security Council and in the Group of Eight (G-8); deciding influence in the near neighbourhood. The study comes to the conclusion that Russia-in the horizon of 2020-will belong among world's leading actors, together with the US, the EU, China, and Islamic world. Russia will be able to of enforce its foreign and security goals, both in post-Soviet areas and in key regions in Europe, Asia and in the Great Near East. As such, it will probably get into conflict with the US. The priority tasks of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation will rest on maintaining nuclear parity with the US and building capacities for asymmetrical operations. |
Security Future within the Foreign Policy Context (Risky 21st Century)Reviewed - ResearchPhDr. Miloš Balabán, Ph.D.Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 1/2006, Vol. XV. (XLVII.): 3-24 The subject of this comprehensive study: the main features of global risk society can be embodied by ecology crises, global financial crises, threat of terrorism. The article is presented as a report to military community and audience, with the underlying focus on terrorism. The author is mapping the global future in the first two decades of this century. As a small country we must pay attention to the developments in the worlds leading powers: the U.S., China, Russia, last but not least, within the EU. Those themes also present individual headings of this study. He treats energy, demography, peace, security, good neighbourly relations, cooperation between states that are most desirable goals we want to reach. In a way, as the main actor of worlds security situation till 2020 is identified Islamist terrorism (radical Islamists, Al Qaeda). At the end Mr. Balabán recalls the former "Security Policy of the Czech Republic" released ten years ago, reminding us the necessity to be prepared for the worst scenarios. |
Jake otazky otevrela valka v IrakuVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 2/2003, Vol. XII. (XLIV.): 64-69 |
Armada a rozpad Sovetskeho svazuPhDr. Miloš Balabán, Ph.D.Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 1/2002, Vol. XI. (XLIII.): 150-160 |
Zahranicni intervence a separatisticke konflikty v Evrope v devadesatych letechVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 2/2000, Vol. IX. (XLI.): 154-173 |
Rok po rozsireni NATO z vojenskopolitickeho pohleduIng. Milan Štembera, CSc.,, Ing. Josef Janošec, CSc.Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 3/2000, Vol. IX. (XLI.): 3-11 |
Evropska bezpecnostni a obranna identita:Quo vadis?Generálmajo Ing. Jaroslav HudecVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 3/2000, Vol. IX. (XLI.): 12-18 |
Soucasny stav a perspektivy procesu planovani a hodnoceni PARPPodplukovník Ing. René Nastoupil, CSc.Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 4/1999, Vol. VIII. (XL.): 120-126 |
Mirove operacePplk. Ing. Adolf TurekVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 4/1997, Vol. VI. (XXXVIII.): 66-74 |
Problemy a reseni za budoucich koalicnich operaci - IIVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 3/1997, Vol. VI. (XXXVIII.): 125-132 |
NATO pred summitemPlk. Ing. Zdeněk BrousilVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 1/1997, Vol. VI. (XXXVIII.): 3-10 |
Evropska bezpecnostni struktura:
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Partnerstvi pro mir - vcera, dnes a zitraPlk. Ing. Zdeněk BrousilVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 5/1995, Vol. IV. (XXXVI.): 3-14 |
Treti dimenze NATOVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 4/1995, Vol. IV. (XXXVI.): 52-57 |
Nebezpecna problematicnost jadernych zkousekIng. Josef HrdličkaVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 7/1994, Vol. III. (XXXV.): 47-53 |
Vojenskostrategicka situace Ceske republikyPlk. v zál. Ing. Milan Sládeček, DrSc.,, plk. v zál. Ing. Karel ŠtěpánekVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 7/1994, Vol. III. (XXXV.): 89-99 |
Zaklady evropske bezpecnostiVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 6/1994, Vol. III. (XXXV.): 127-140 |
Evropska bezpecnost a jej vliv na rozvoj vojenskeho umeniGenmjr. Ing. Emil AntušákVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 10/1994, Vol. III. (XXXV.): 38-48 |
NATO: Nutnost rozsireniVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 3/1994, Vol. III. (XXXV.): 45-59 |
Spektrum rizik a ohrozeni spolecnostiPlk. Ing. Stanislav Stach, CSc.Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 9/1994, Vol. III. (XXXV.): 3-14 |
Vojenska doktrina Ruske federace, jeji ozbrojene sily, rozvedkaVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 1/1994, Vol. III. (XXXV.): 97-104 |
C41 - Infrastruktura podporujici Partnerstvi pro mirJohn K. C. MacleanVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 8/1994, Vol. III. (XXXV.): 52-60 |
Svycarska bezpecnostni politika v menici se EvropeDr. Theodor WinklerVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 6/1993, Vol. II. (XXXIV.): 17-23 |

