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Long-term Monitoring of Physical Fitness of Soldiers from a Specialized Part of the Czech Armed ForcesReviewed - ReviewJan Zemánek, Miroslava PřidalováVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 1/2021, Vol. XXX. (LXII.): 67-82 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.30.2021.01.067-082 This study deals with long-term monitoring of physical fitness of soldiers, namely members of the 31st Radiation, Chemical and Biological Protection Regiment in order to determine whether the annual fitness test has rising trend, or in another words, whether the military service physical training process is fittingly effective. The study was carried out by comparing the assessment of physical fitness each year 2012-2019. The monitored group consisted of 316 professional soldiers, who participated in this assessment regularly, without interruption in the same disciplines. |
NATO's Strategic Interest in Africa - a Possible Multi-Criteria AnalysisReviewed - ResearchCraisor-Constantin IonitaVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 3/2022, Vol. XXXI. (LXIII.): 23-40 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.31.2022.03.023-040 The paper demonstrates that the Multi-Criteria Analysis (MCA) is one very useful analytical tool and method to help Allied political decision makers and military strategists to rethink the Alliance's new role and mission in Africa, as the Southern neighbour of NATO and the EU having great possibilities to influence, either positively or negatively, the European and Euro-Atlantic security. Thus, the paper's scope is to use MCA in order to highlight the importance of Africa for NATO's Geopolitics and what Member States should undertake in order to join the competitive North African and Sahel region's arms and presence race against the increased Russian and Chinese economic and military interests. |
Scenario-based Planning of State Material Reserves: Case Study of LatviaReviewed - ReviewJan StejskalVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 4/2021, Vol. XXX. (LXII.): 74-92 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.30.2021.04.074-092 The article deals with the issue of identifying required material reserves, also referred to as strategic or emergency reserves. These reserves are managed by state authority as part of national crisis preparedness. The article explores how scenarios can be used as a method for planning, i.e. determining adequate, realistic, and affordable material reserves. A scenario-based analysis, well proven in the defence planning domain, is identified as a method offering a high degree of analytical rigor and traceability of resulting requirements. Selected planning scenarios clearly must reflect national threat/hazard and risk assessments. They also have to reflect other important national policies, such as those governing economy, industry, health care, or environment. The illustrative conduct of the initial steps of the proposed method is demonstrated using Latvia's security policy circumstances. |
Impact of the New Technologies on CBRN Terrorist Threats: General Perspective and Perspective of Republic of CroatiaReviewed - ReviewIvana Cetina, Jugoslav JozićVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 4/2022, Vol. XXXI. (LXIII.): 119-139 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.31.2022.04.119-139 Although the level of the overall CBRN threat in the world is currently considered to be low, there is a trend of a growing concern about CBRN terrorism. Various terrorist groups have shown interest in using CBRN materials to disrupt the global order and economy. The motivation and factors that influence the potential use of CBRN agents in terrorist attacks arise from the fact that CBRN agents have potentially high mortality and can cause serious consequences. A large number of potential dual-use (military and civilian) items as well as the introduction of new technologies in use can be utilized for the CBRN attacks and create a wide range of new possible terrorist (and military) threats. This paper provides a general overview of the past and current situations regarding CBRN terrorism, analyses some of current widely known new technologies that can be utilized for CBRN terrorist attacks and analyses the biggest potential threats from CBRN hazards. |
Issues of Resilience to Cyber-Enabled Psychological and Information OperationsReviewed - ReviewPetra MlejnkováVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 1/2022, Vol. XXXI. (LXIII.): 38-50 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.31.2022.01.038-050 This article discusses the transformation of the information environment, which allows an adversary to exploit cyber-enabled psychological and information operations. It presents the options currently available to an adversary to exploit the vulnerability of the information environment, chiefly the cognitive vulnerabilities of target groups. Thus, hostile interests are often pursued through manipulation, using disinformation, propaganda, algorithms and artificial intelligence. In the light of these developments, the article defines a society-centric approach, in which societal and human resilience are emphasised. |
Innovative view of the methodical process of facing disinformationReviewed - ResearchMartin HavlíkVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 4/2022, Vol. XXXI. (LXIII.): 23-36 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.31.2022.04.023-036 The article describes an innovative view of a possible methodical process of access and protection against disinformation. The ever-increasing digitization and use of cyberspace to disseminate all kinds of data and information provides users with an indisputable number of associated benefits associated with rapid access, distribution or sharing of current knowledge. However, this development trend also reciprocally generates a number of related threats that need to be faced. Our own resilience and effective tools against information campaigns and information actions of all relevant actors play the key role here. The critical thinking itself and the process mechanisms used to access information are the focus of overall resilience to this type of security threats. Thus, the methodical process can help a wide range of readers broaden their view of the complexity of the problem and partially minimize the associated security risks. |
The Process Approach to Human Resource Management in the Czech MoDNonreviewed - OtherFrantišek MičánekVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 4/2021, Vol. XXX. (LXII.): 168-183 The article is a creative elaboration and proposal for optimization of selected activities of the human resources management process in the Ministry of Defense, which have a fundamental influence on achieving the set goals of personnel policy of the Ministry of Defense. The article builds on the analysis of the "status quo" of the human resource management in the Ministry of Defense, carried out with the help of dimensional and stakeholder analysis, sector analysis PESTLE-M, and questionnaire survey with a sample of officers (students of career courses KVD and KGŠ). It also uses the results of capability-based scenario, on which a prediction of the future needs of personnel and financial resources is calculated and demonstrated. For selected activities of the human resources management process their possible content is discussed, as well as the effects (or the necessity to set them accordingly) of internal and external process controllers. |
Identification of factors for the prevention and elimination of undesirable forms of impulsive behavior in the context of solving difficult situations under conditions of professional activities of military leadership studentsReviewed - ResearchDavid Ullrich, František Milichovský, Veronika Koleňáková, Lenka ČadováVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 4/2022, Vol. XXXI. (LXIII.): 37-49 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.31.2022.04.037-049 The effective leadership and the effectiveness of a leader reflect, as the strongest factor, the degree of his transformational approach, which influences the objectively measured performance of the led group. The main goal of the pilot research study was to identify personality and psychophysiological factors that could be monitored in the prevention and elimination of undesirable forms of impulsive behavior in the context of solving difficult situations in real conditions for professional leadership students according to the Big Five theory. The chosen research design made it possible to effectively combine the advantages of a behavioral and personalized approach to the study of impulsivity. The results of the study carried out on the final sample of subjects N=63, aged 21 to 26 years (r=21.7 years; 34.9% women and 65.1% men) are currently being processed. However, it can already be stated that the degree of impulsivity in military leadership students is related to the level of conscientiousness. |
Cognitive Hierarchy and IntelligenceReviewed - ReviewJozef Vojtek, Josef Říha, Miroslav ŠuhajVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 2/2022, Vol. XXXI. (LXIII.): 88-105 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.31.2022.02.088-105 The article deals with the issue of the cognitive pyramid and the possible use of intelligence analysis in the context of gaining the understanding and wisdom of users of information using this pyramid. The cognitive pyramid is used to define the terms date, information, knowledge, understanding and wisdom that make up the various levels of the pyramid. The paper attempts to discuss concepts in different models of the pyramid. It briefly describes intelligence in the context of the use of intelligence by means of a cognitive pyramid. Intelligence is a special kind of knowledge. This article also seeks to explore how intelligence creation can be explained using a cognitive analytical pyramid model. |
Modern National Projects: Implementation of Development Projects in the Czech Armed ForcesNonreviewed - OtherPetr Křížek, Vladimír Vyklický, Aleš Tesař, Zdeněk MikulaVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 4/2021, Vol. XXX. (LXII.): 184-193 Experienced experts in military modernization projects use a new generic implementation tool in defence planning to compile a comprehensive implementation plan for acquisitions. A software tool based on MS Excel facilitates the linking of a planning tool to create an implementation plan. The functional analysis matrix created by the software tool is suitable for the evaluation of DOTMLPFI functional areas within individual phases, especially the implementation phase and the evaluation phase. The resulting product is a checklist for the full implementation of a military project describing its life cycle with all major milestones, which respects the Czech Defence Standard and compatibility with NATO doctrine. |
Career Education Of Military Leaders in the Area of the Lessons LearnedReviewed - ResearchRichard SaibertVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 3/2022, Vol. XXXI. (LXIII.): 84-100 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.31.2022.03.084-100 The paper is focused on the issue how to develop and strengthen the competencies of military leaders essential for management of the Lessons Learned process in the Czech Armed Forces. The analysis shows that the issue of lessons learned is sufficiently addressed in relevant military documents which provides a foundation for definition of relevant competencies. Questionnaire survey proves that most respondents apply identified competencies related primarily to analysis phase and the verification of lessons identified. The article further presents a study curriculum proposal that can be used as a comprehensive framework for study programs within career education currently provided by the Center for Security and Military Strategic Studies of the University of Defence and the Training Command - Military Academy. |
The Overview of Security Theories and Concepts and the Example of the Republic of Bulgaria in Understanding the Problem of SecurityReviewed - ReviewElitsa Petrova, Stoyko StoykovVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 4/2021, Vol. XXX. (LXII.): 109-122 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.30.2021.04.109-122 Security and defence issues have always been the subject of scientific and artistic interest. The topicality of the researched issues is especially emphasized in the conditions of changing the concepts of security and bringing them from the traditional level to a level reflecting the modern reality. The article attempts to review the genesis and development of the security concept by presenting related and fundamental concepts, related and synonymous terms of the term "security", and various levels of security. The authors try to briefly describe the problem, which is reflected in a number of Bulgarian and international scientific and legislative sources, and which reflects the research purpose of the presented work. |
Some Military Consequences of the United Kingdom's Exit from the European UnionReviewed - ReviewAntonín Novotný, František RacekVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 3/2021, Vol. XXX. (LXII.): 3-26 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.30.2021.03.003-026 The article deals with some military consequences of the departure of the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland from the European Union (Brexit). To assess the potential impacts on defence and security of EU, a structured approach involving several methods was used in the analysis, which combines a search of professional publications, factors sensitivity analysis and testing of hypotheses. Based on the analysis, it was evaluated that the departure of the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland from the structures of the European Union will take place without significant impact in the military field and does not pose an immediate threat to the security and defence of EU member states. Nevertheless, in connection with Brexit, there is still a certain risk of negative impacts in this area. |
Current Approaches of the Czech Republic, the EU and NATO to Hybrid ThreatsReviewed - ResearchMartin HavlíkVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 2/2022, Vol. XXXI. (LXIII.): 3-16 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.31.2022.02.003-016 The article discusses the current approach of the Czech Republic to the phenomenon of hybrid threats and analyses the fundamental shortcomings that determine the effective management of these threats. As part of a comprehensive approach, the text is supplemented by the current view of the European Union and NATO on addressing the issue of hybrid action by hostile actors. A summary comparison of the approaches of the Czech Republic, the European Union and NATO points to the need for mutual institutional synergy among these entities. Although the current approaches of the mentioned subjects are relatively sufficiently doctrinally anchored, the absence of a complex and especially practically functioning apparatus and specific operational tools that would be able to face a wide range of hybrid threats persists. |
Remuneration of Professional Soldiers in the Czech Republic and in the Slovak RepublicReviewed - ReviewMonika Davidová, Vladan Holcner, Libor Jílek, Alojz FlachbartVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 4/2021, Vol. XXX. (LXII.): 123-140 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.30.2021.04.123-140 The paper analyses differences in remuneration of professional soldiers in the Czech Republic and the Slovak Republic between 1999 and 2020. This structural analysis focuses on changes in respective remuneration systems and their design. Results of the presented research enable to identify differences in the development of remuneration of professional soldiers after the split of the Czechoslovak Federation in 1993. The paper submits development of the amounts of salary for selected military ranks, their comparison and relation to general trends in domestic labor market and relation to average costs of living in respective countries. Between 2016 and 2019, salaries of professional soldiers grew higher in the Czech Republic than in the Slovak Republic, in 2020, the pay gap is already narrowing. |
The Development of Personnel Recovery in Military OperationsNonreviewed - OtherJiří SvobodaVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 1/2018, Vol. XXVII. (LIX.): 107-114 Personnel Recovery is currently an inseparable part of all NATO military operations. This article is focused on the development of the Personnel Recovery in military operations from the Second World War to the 2003 Iraq War. It describes the meaning of the concept of Personnel Recovery, introduces its basic aims including the clarification of its importance in military operations. It focuses on the identification of conditions that determine the existence of the rescue system. In the historical context, it describes the circumstances of development of the recovery of isolated personnel, including its incorporation into a functional system. It identifies and analyzes events that, in terms of their importance and ability to influence subsequent development, represents milestones in the organization of Personnel Recovery and from them describes the measures taken. |
Retraining of soldiersReviewed - ResearchKristýna BinkováVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 4/2018, Vol. XXVII. (LIX.): 105-119 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.27.2018.04.105-119 The retraining courses of the Ministry of Defence aim to prepare soldiers for the civilian environment and to enable them to acquire the knowledge and skills that are applicable in the labour market. In the years 2008-2017 11 605 soldiers of the Czech Armed Forces terminated their service. The application for retraining was submitted by 3 644 persons, of whom 2 769 were retrained. The prevalence of retraining is in technical professions (1 342 persons) and in managerial and business training (832 persons). The research question and the statistical evaluation of the data obtained confirms the hypothesis that most soldiers were not retrained. The results of sociological research carried out among 313 former soldiers of the Czech Armed Forces show that more than three fifths of soldiers did not apply for retraining (64%), especially among higher positions and college graduates, because of no information about the data of termination of service (25%), no need for retraining (20 %) and not completing the retraining course (30 %) mostly because of the refusal of the superiors. The shortcomings of the retraining system of professional soldiers are summarized. |
Evaluation of Education QualityReviewed - ReviewJan KroulíkVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 2/2018, Vol. XXVII. (LIX.): 95-108 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.27.2018.02.95-108 Within the context of evaluation system of education quality in career courses that are organized at the Center for Security and Military Strategic Studies of the University of Defence in Brno, the article deals with course evaluation questionnaires. It demonstrates benefits of introducing online questionnaires, and a persistence of responses sets that are invalid in terms of internal imbalance. To filter out this undesirable natural phenomenon, a method was proposed for determining the consistency of responses sets. The outcomes lead to the goal to enhance quality as well as quantity of responses to evaluation questionnaires. In terms of quality, the intention is to continue filtering out invalid responses sets using the proposed method. In terms of quantity, the intention is to motivate the course participants to fill the evaluation questionnaire by dividing it in parts, so that they can experience the changes based on their responses yet during their course. |
Current Nuclear Strategies and Arsenals of the United States of America and the Russian FederationReviewed - ReviewAdam PotočňákVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 4/2021, Vol. XXX. (LXII.): 23-44 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.30.2021.04.023-044 The article holistically analyses current strategies for the use and development of nuclear forces of the USA and Russia and analytically reflects their mutual doctrinal interactions. It deals with the conditions under which the U.S. and Russia may opt for using their nuclear weapons and reflects also related issues of modernization and development of their actual nuclear forces. The author argues that both superpowers did not manage to abandon the Cold War logic or avoid erroneous, distorted or exaggerated assumptions about the intentions of the other side. The text concludes with a summary of possible changes and adaptations of the American nuclear strategy under the Biden administration as part of the assumed strategy update expected for 2022. |
Middle Eastern Proxy Wars Waged on the Background of Civil WarsReviewed - ReviewMirela AtanasiuVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 3/2021, Vol. XXX. (LXII.): 27-44 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.30.2021.03.027-044 The paper argues that proxy war is an increasingly often used tool in the Middle East, in the already conflicted territories where international involvement is not only enabled, but also attracted and encouraged by the international law for the purpose of region's securitization. Thus, the paper's aim is to increase awareness on the fact that the Middle Eastern countries passing through civil war periods and accepting external actors to deal with their crises do not only become fertile territories for proxy wars, but the intervening actors start pursuing their own interests beyond the host country's interest in resolving the conflict. |
The Hidden Contents in the Professional Military Education ProcessReviewed - ReviewMarkéta LickováVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 4/2021, Vol. XXX. (LXII.): 141-153 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.30.2021.04.141-153 Increasing pressure on the quality of the educational content brings the need to address the issue of hidden mechanisms in the educational process that have impacts on the quality of knowledge and skills. This article discusses the existence of the hidden curriculum in lifelong learning and puts it into the context of the lifelong Professional Military Education as it is provided at the Centre for Security and Military Strategic Studies at the University of Defence. The uncovering of the hidden content in education may not be a welcome process, in extreme it may become unacceptable. However, hidden content can affect the achieved learning outcomes, as well as their deliberate disclosure and appropriate processing. The aim of the article is to describe whether and with what benefit can the concept of the hidden curriculum be applied to professional military education in the Centre for Security and Military Strategic Studies environment . |
Human Resources of the Mobilization of the Czech Armed Forces at the Beginning of the 21st CenturyReviewed - ReviewPetr DosoudilVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 1/2021, Vol. XXX. (LXII.): 52-66 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.30.2021.01.052-066 The article focuses on identifying the key factors of human resources within the Czech state needed to carry out mobilization of the armed forces in case of a military conflict. It primarily answers the questions of whether these factors are sufficient and can be used effectively in the mobilization process. It addresses the issue of military records, sustainability of military reserves and their profitability. It also deals with the influence of secondary factors on the possibilities of creating and training reserves, especially the motivation of citizens to defend the state and the physical fitness of the mobilized population. |
Leaderless Resistance: Development, Countering and Research of Insurgent ConceptReviewed - ReviewMiroslav MarešVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 3/2020, Vol. XXIX. (LXI.): 41-56 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.29.2020.03.041-056 The paper deals with an insurgent strategic concept "leaderless resistance". It was elaborated by US intelligence officer Colonel Ulius Louis Amoss. It is used by various insurgent actors and it is researched within the context of insurgency and counterinsurgency and interconnected issues (extremism, terrorism etc). The author of this contribution deals with the development tendencies and with the strengths and weaknesses of this strategy (including the derived concepts as "leaderless Jihad" etc.). Its adaptation in the era of modern political and hybrid warfare is explained. Challenges for successful countering from the point of view of security architecture (intelligence and law enforcement agencies, army, non-.state actors) are discussed. |
Convergence of NDPP and CSDP Planning Process as a Part of the NATO-EU Strategic Partnership ReinforcingReviewed - ReviewZdeněk PetrášVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 4/2021, Vol. XXX. (LXII.): 45-59 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.30.2021.04.045-059 Over the last few years, a need for reinforcing the NATO-EU mutual coherence has become increasingly apparent. The EU and NATO have recently initiated the steps to consolidate the strategic cooperation where a way ahead to converge NDPP and CSDP planning process was also underpinned. The recent introduction of new tools tailored to get more effective the CSDP process offers new opportunities for facilitating a convergence of EU and NATO planning approaches. Even if it is impossible to assume that the Alliance's and the Union's planning processes would become identical, the implementation of PESCO and other subsequent procedural tools has created a room for potential synchronization and harmonization of respective planning processes. The paper summarises findings on certain parts of both processes which could be brought closer, in terms of time and procedures, without affecting the autonomy of both organizations in any way. |
Applicability of Artificial Intelligence in Decision-Making for Land ForcesReviewed - ReviewPaul TudoracheVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 2/2021, Vol. XXX. (LXII.): 39-54 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.30.2021.02.039-054 Similar to other fields, also in the military one, the Artificial Intelligence has become recently an evident solution for optimizing specific processes and activities. Therefore, this research paper aims to highlight the potential uses of Artificial Intelligence in the military operations carried out by the Land Forces. In this regard, analysing the framework of the operations process and applying suitable research methodology, the main findings are related to AI's contributions in optimizing commander's decisions during the progress of planning and execution. On the other hand, picturing the AI upgrated combat power of the Land Forces is another significant result of this study. |
Officer's CompetenciesReviewed - ReviewPřemysl Štěpánek, Richard SaibertVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 1/2020, Vol. XXIX. (LXI.): 51-70 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.29.2020.01.051-070 The article deals with the process of identification of competencies for commanders in leading units in military operations. The used methodology based on combined approach founded on selected competency rosters and its further modification seemed to be relevant and applicable in the Czech Armed Forces conditions. Military officer's profiles anchored in the EU Commission Database for Armed Forces and in the EU Sectoral Qualifications Framework for Military Officer Profession have been proven as the most relevant frameworks of competencies. Both are formulated and structured to be as generic as possible for all officers regardless of their specialization. They were established on current theories and incorporate extensive amount of entries from various national sources. The resulting list of 24 generic competencies, selected from a total of 69 competencies analyzed, represents a possible example of a set of requirements imposed on the Czech Armed Forces officers. |
Internet of Things Vulnerabilities in Military EnvironmentsReviewed - ReviewAndras TothVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 3/2021, Vol. XXX. (LXII.): 45-58 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.30.2021.03.045-058 IoT devices (sensors, drones, cameras) are gaining more and more emphasis on military operations. The application of IoT elements in the military environment increases situational awareness and supports the acquisition and maintenance of information superiority. The information they provide about the enemy, the area of operations, and the location and status of our soldiers and assets can contribute to the successful execution of operations at the tactical, operational and strategic levels. However, they can also pose serious threats if their vulnerabilities allow the data they collected to leak or they provide access to the info-communication networks used for the enemy. In this article, the author examined the vulnerabilities of these IoT devices using keyword analysis. After drawing conclusions from the analysis of the relevant literature, he compared the results with the general-purpose IoT threats and attacks typical of today, like distributed denial of service attacks, security, software, security and privacy issues. |
The Legal Basis for the Participation of the Slovak Republic in the UNFICYP Peacekeeping OperationNonreviewed - OtherJán Marek, Pavel BučkaVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 4/2021, Vol. XXX. (LXII.): 154-167 This article looks at the operation of the Armed Forces of the Slovak Republic in Cyprus within the UNFICYP peacekeeping operation. It presents the basic legal framework for the operation of the Armed Forces of the Slovak Republic in this peacekeeping operation and maps the progress of the peacekeeping operation and the fulfilment of tasks by its members. The aim of the research was to evaluate the current approach of the Slovak Republic to UN operations with an emphasis on addressing the security situation at Cyprus. At the same time, the article points to the important role of the Slovak Republic in the UNFICYP peacekeeping operation after it took over responsibility for the entire Sector 4 in 2018. |
Is Turkey Ready for a War with Syria?Reviewed - ReviewVladimír Bízik, Zdeněk KřížVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 3/2020, Vol. XXIX. (LXI.): 57-71 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.29.2020.03.057-071 This article examines whether Turkey is ready for a full-scale military conflict with Bashar Al-Assad's Syria. It draws from an adaptation of Clausewitz's concept of three resources that a state must possess to be able to win a war: the fighting forces proper, popular support, and its allies. Turkey is at a significant disadvantage when it comes to its air force and air defense capabilities. Should a major confrontation erupt, Turkey would not be guaranteed to be able to control the relevant air space. Turkish citizens do not favor seeing their country in a foreign quagmire. Despite myriad differences, Turkey it is still deeply embedded within NATO, and its strategic interests do not differ from those of its strategic allies. Turkey also cannot afford to risk an open military conflict with Russia. The article concludes that Turkey is politically and militarily not capable of fighting a full-scale war in Syria. |

