Vojenské Rozhledy

Czech Military Review

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Results 241 to 270 of 3163:

Rekodification of Private Law and Members of the Armed Forces

Nonreviewed - Other

JUDr. Mgr. Ondřej Horák, Ph.D., PhDr. Mgr. Jakub Razim, Ph.D., Mgr. Tomáš Zbořil

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 4/2016, Vol. XXV. (LVII.): 132-143

The paper deals with recent recodification of private law (background and sources of inspiration, general part of Civil Code, family and inheritance law) and particularly the special regulation related to the members of the armed forces (so-called military private law): 1) marriage under exceptional circumstances (§ 667 CC), and 2) military testament (§ 1545 CC). They reflected illustratively the ideological background of the recent recodification - links to national and European legal tradition, discontinuity with the previous regulation and the pursuit of complexity, and also indirectly the current relationship to the armed forces - respect, appreciation of their importance and taking account of their specifics.

Factors Infuencing Quality of Preparation for Urban Area Operations

Nonreviewed - Other

kpt. Ing. Pavel Zahradníček

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 4/2016, Vol. XXV. (LVII.): 144-149

The article identifies specific attributes which have influenced duality of training for urban area operations. There are mentioned only the crucial ones. The author was inspired his own experience as infantry unit commander. He used his knowledge gained from military assignments. The article could be considered as topic for future discussion not only on academic but also on specialized level.

De-escalation of the War at Ukraine, and Its Resolution by International Security Organisations.

Reviewed - Review

Ing. Zbyněk Dubský, Ph.D.

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 3/2016, Vol. XXV. (LVII.): 3-20 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.25.2016.03.003-020

The article is aimed on the identification of the tools of the international security organisations (NATO, European Union, Organisation for security and Cooperation in Europe) for de-escalation and resolution of the violent conflict in Ukraine. It is based on the liberal institucionalism. It characterizes and systematises tools and divides it into "soft power" and "hard power" tools. It is analysed the possibility of the use of armed forces as a coercive tool or in peacekeeping or monitoring missions. The NATO and the EU became involved in coercive diplomacy, the OSCE as a "soft power" becomes involved in mediation of the conflict in eastern Ukraine and dispatched long time missions. All three analysed organisations used the tools without placing of armed forces.

Wheeled and Tracked Combat Vehicles Usage in Operations

Nonreviewed - Other

Doc. Ing. Zdeněk Flasar, CSc., Mjr. Ing. Jan Drozd

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 3/2016, Vol. XXV. (LVII.): 90-101

The paper deals with the task forces in two levels. The first - a declaration of possibilities of the Czech Armed Forces resources in the operations. The second one - a grouping of recourses established to fulfil a special task, which is not possible to be solved by organic or reinforced unit. The paper gives an opinion on the concept of "combat team". Further, the article deals with possibilities of cooperation of tracked and wheeled combat vehicles while performing tactical tasks. In this part of the article authors deals with general eventuality of tracked and wheeled combat vehicles cooperation and the possibility of performing the units tasks in atypical numbers, including the possibility of using parachute on combat vehicles. The article contains the outcomes of the experiment exercise.

Reflection of the Practical Requirements for the Knowledge and Skills of the Commanders in the Study at the Univerzity of Defence

Nonreviewed - Other

Ing. Miroslav Mašlej, Ph.D.

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 2/2016, Vol. XXV. (LVII.): 125-131

University of Defence, in coop. with General Staff of Czech Armed Forces, declares accreditation of new study programme. Its aim to prepare a universally educated officer with appropriate professional and language skills emphasizing the employability within his or her professional career. This new study programme emphasizes the military character of education and the ability to respond flexibly to the needs of the Army of the Czech Republic. Soft managerial skills of a commander, as far as people leadership is concerned, are also supported significantly. The aim of the article is to show the current effort of the Faculty of Military Leadership at the University of Defence to optimize the university education of a future commander­manager.

Operational Readiness of National Territory and the Railway Transport in the Military Emergencies

Nonreviewed - Other

Ing. Bc. Miroslav Beneš, Ing. Jan Englich, doc. Ing. Radovan Soušek, Ph.D., Ing. Pavel Viskup, Ph.D.

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 2/2016, Vol. XXV. (LVII.): 132-143

The paper solved changes in the legislation and the Analyse of continuance of the railway transport branch after the State of National Emergency announce or the State of War announce The analyse highlights on actual difference between documentation (the Operational Read- iness of National Territory) and real options. Long­time and gradual impacts in the entire domain decrease real possibilities of the system. The final step has been cancel of mobilization delivery for protecting and recovery of designated railway network without any measures. The paper offers possible solution of that situation.

Possibilities of Tactical Activities Optimization in the Framework of Engineer Units

Reviewed - Review

Doc. Ing. Jaroslav ZELENÝ, CSc.

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 1/2016, Vol. XXV. (LVII.): 91-101 | DOI: 10.3849/1210-3292.25.2016.01.091-101

The article presents possible approaches to solve problems of finding the optimum state of tactical activities within the level of small Engineer Units. The intention is, by elaborating of the partial engineer goal which is focussed on the area of engineer units' tactics, to develop input data/ information needed for further development of mathematical models of the tactical activities. Subsequently, with the judgement on modelling outputs (applicability within C2 activities of staffs' task force structures) from engineer unit tactics point of view, the article contributes to enhancing all of C2 processes effectiveness. The article also provides us with information about the range of facts relative with problems of selected engineer unit (counter-mobility task forces) deployment planning, and controlling. There can be also found inventory of activities appropriate for optimization.

Command Structure and Basic Activities of Military Observes in Operation MINUSCA

Nonreviewed - Other

podplukovník. Ing. Jan Drozd

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 1/2016, Vol. XXV. (LVII.): 125-137

The article is linked with two articles from 2013 (United Nations military observer and Preparation of Military Observers of ACR before Dispatch for Operation) and describes command structure of military observer in MINUSCA operation in Central African Republic. The article also deals with description of basic duties of the military observer team sites as well as some specifics of their live within the operation. The goal of the article is to provide information concerning structure and responsibilities of military observers in this operation. The paper is determined for future military observers, military observers deployed in MINUSCA operation as well as training purposes.

Threats from the East and the South as V4 Defence and Security Cooperation Catalysers

Reviewed - Review

kpt. PhDr. Jakub Kufčák

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 4/2015, Vol. XXIV. (LVI.): 30-37 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.24.2015.04.030-037

Recent developments in security environment in the last two years re-opened crucial European debates such as the reform of the NATO architecture to address resurgent Russia to the East and as finding common European solution to migratory pressures that test both national capabilities and European solidarity. Even through the Visegrád countries do not always share common interests, the V4 manifests that it can play indispensable role in reaction to these developments. However, V4 still lacks actually proactive regional approach that would accommodate polish interests in order to keep informal leader Poland invested in this cooperation format. Polish elections mean one more challenging test for the V4 to coordinate positions before the crucial NATO Warsaw summit. Should this endeavor be unsuccessful, Poland could look to other formats that mirror its interests and threat perception more closely meaning that V4 would take a back seat with regard to NATO agenda. The task for the Czech V4 presidency is to produce practical results in ongoing ambitious project in defence cooperation so that is demonstrates the cooperation's 'added value.'

Information Support of Logistics Planning in NATO

Nonreviewed - Other

doc. Ing. Miroslav Pecina, CSc., Mgr. Roman Dufek, doc. Ing. Miroslav Cempírek, CSc.

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 4/2015, Vol. XXIV. (LVI.): 95-105

The article focuses on the current use of NATO logistics information systems in the NATO Defense Planning Process and the Operations Planning Process in the area of logistics. Information support is provided through the logistics information systems of LOGFAS (Logistics Functional Area Services), which generate the necessary information environment through various software tools. In order to improve future logistics information support, NATO is concurrently preparing a modernization of the existing information environment by the development of the LOG FS projects. In the future, those projects are expected to replace the existing information systems in order to optimize information support, deliver new features and to facilitate the coordination of logistic operations within the NATO integrated command and control network.

Security System: Optimalization, or New Conception?

Reviewed - Review

Ing. Vladimír Krulík, PhDr. Antonín Rašek

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 3/2015, Vol. XXIV. (LVI.): 23-34 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.24.2015.03.023-034

The article deals with the development of the security system since the November 1989 events. Special attention is paid to the situation near the year 2005, when the last opportunity to update a comprehensive concept of security system occurred. The text deals with the comprehensive management of the security system issue. The authors of the article present key events and strategic documents forming the current shape of the Czech security system. In the final part of article, you can find the proposal of the strategic document management system within the security development system. Article results in the knowledge that the modern security system concept is still challenge for us.

Border Defense against Infiltration and Guerilla Attacks

Reviewed - Research

Michael Bátrla

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 3/2015, Vol. XXIV. (LVI.): 102-118 | DOI: 10.3849/1210-3292.24.2015.03.102-118

The text deals with the use of border defense as a means of protection against guerrilla attacks and infiltration, through a combination of principles of modern stationary fortifications and forward area defense. These are discussed on the case study of the Northern Border Security Project of Saudi Arabia. The role of attacker takes quasi-state formation the Islamic State (IS, ISIS, ISIL). The aim is to analyze whether the project would endure distinctive types of asymmetric attacks. Vulnerability prioritization for each component determines the most likely targets and their characteristics. This is a subjective semi quantitative method known as CARVER matrix. Subsequently, based on established premises, the text discusses three selected scenarios that use guerrilla tactics with elements of terrorism against selected targets. Attack scenarios show some of the possible ways of improvement for the project. In conclusion, the author makes recommendations for possible adjustments and assess the potential of using the project as a protection against asymmetric attacks. After reading the text, the reader is informed about the project, its components, as well as recommendations that can be applied in the further use of this type of defense.

Some Difficulties of Correlation between Strategy and Operational Art

Reviewed - Review

Ing. Ján Spišák, Ph.D.

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 3/2015, Vol. XXIV. (LVI.): 132-143 | DOI: 10.3849/1210-3292.24.2015.03.132-143

The article deals with correlation of strategy and operational art. The aim of the article is to point on deficit of relationship between political decision-making and military planning. The first part of the article simply introduces doctrinal tools of operational art, applicable at both the operational and strategic level. The second part refers to the fact that application of some standard elements of operational art in terms of overall strategic framework loses partly importance because of their use in the context of unconventional conflict has been less appropriate. The third part deals with criticism of the mutual undesirable separation of politicians and military professionals involved in operations planning. Conclusion of the article offers possible solutions of this deficit.

Cooperation of Civil and Military Logistics in Military Operations

Reviewed - Review

Doc. Ing. Miroslav Cempírek, CSc., Doc. Ing. Miroslav Pecina, CSc., Ing. Miroslav Musil, Ph.D.

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 3/2015, Vol. XXIV. (LVI.): 144-158 | DOI: 10.3849/1210-3292.24.2015.03.144-158

The article deals with the integration of outside resources into the process of support Forces in Military operations. The crux of this work lies in the illustration of 'place' and the role of Civil Contracting Supports in the Combat Service system of Armed Forces. It also accentuates the sense and complexity of Combat Service Support. The article analyses the advantages. disadvantages and risks for utilizating Civil Contractors in armed conflicts. The text respects this and acknowledges the benefit from experience of the NATO Armies in this field. In the closing part the authors formulate recommendations for the later boom of 'Combat Service' theory and practice. The effect and benefit of this article lies first of all in its suggestion of criteria for the selection of contractors.

CBRN EOD Capability as a Current Challenge for Czech Armed Forces Chemical Corps

Reviewed - Review

npor. Ing. Radim Zahradníček, plk. doc. Ing. Zdeněk Skaličan, CSc.

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 2/2015, Vol. XXIV. (LVI.): 72-82 | DOI: 10.3849/1210-3292.24.2015.02.072-082

The article describes CBRN EOD capability, which is one of the developed areas within the scope of the Czech Armed Forces Chemical Corps. It depicts CBRN EOD in the context of operational use of chemical troops, introduces an option of appropriate task force and mentions basic operational requirements to ensure safe proceeding at the incident site. It highlights the importance of common training and interoperability amongst participating units. The article derives from NATO written sources, national operational procedures and expert views of interested persons.

Host Nation Support (HNS) in the Context of International Air Forces Exercises in the Czech Republic

Nonreviewed - Other

nadporučík Ing. Martin Škvařil

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 2/2015, Vol. XXIV. (LVI.): 117-130

The article analyses the Host Nation Support (HNS) planning process in five separate phases according to the NATO procedures. The author emphasizes the importance, purpose and result of every planning stage. The main objective of the article is to apply general rules to the concrete examples of international air forces exercises. The author further identifies his comprehension of HNS formed in the specific conditions of the 22th Helicopter Base. The logistic planning process analysis is based on the experience from exercises Ramstein Rover and Ample Strike held in the period of 2012-2014. The paper is focused on exercises preparatory stages that create the basis for a successful accomplishment of the executive part. The results of the article present the trend of planning responsibility delegation to the tactical level and define the specifics of adapted planning process. The author's contribution may be used as a lead for the future application of the HNS concept.

Not only on the Long-term Planning in the Defence Sector

Nonreviewed - Other

Ing. Oldřich Hoďánek

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 1/2015, Vol. XXIV. (LVI.): 20-25

Presented text mainly deals with the issue of long-term planning in the department of the Ministry of Defence (MOD) of the Czech Republic. The issue is discussed at many levels, taking into account economic and other operational factors that are very important for adequate functioning of the department. Attention is focused both on theoretical considerations, and practical implications of proper planning.

Conflict in Ukraine and Russia's involvement: A New Hybrid War, or the Application of C lassical Methods?

Nonreviewed - Other

Mgr. Richard STOJAR, Ph.D.

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 1/2015, Vol. XXIV. (LVI.): 26-37

This text presents development of the Ukrainian conflict in the context of contemporary discussion about the extent of Russian intervention in crisis regions. The author explores thesis about application of hybrid war by Russian side, use of new military and strategic methods. He also presents and evaluates the arguments which oppose the idea of considerable changes in character of military conflicts, which were demonstrated during the occupation of Crimea and during the combat clashes in Eastern Ukraine having in mind the state and possibilities of the involved actors.

Critical Analysis of Interconnection between Planning by Objectives and Capability Planning

Reviewed - Research

Plukovník gšt. Ing. Zdeněk Petráš

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 4/2014, Vol. XXIII. (LV.): 3-24 | DOI: 10.3849/1210-3292.23.2014.04.003-024

The article brings outcomes from the critical analysis of interaction between planning by objectives and capability planning. The analysis is based on the assumption that the strategic decision-making process should be assisted by a systemic tool, enabling a financial assessment of capabilities, identified as a prerequisite for accomplishing politico-military ambitions. Taking into account the current planning system, as implemented within the Ministry of Defence, the planning by objectives might become this tool. However, for providing an efficient planning by objectives, it is necessary to derive relevant findings from the capability planning, which basically includes data on capability assessment, identified capability shortfalls and their prioritisation. Therefore, findings from capability planning process are a keystone for conceiving objectives for the area of capability development. Both capability planning and planning by objectives are to be seen as communicating conveyances, where a level of mutual interactions significantly influences effectiveness of defence performance management.
The analysis is aimed at identification and description of discrepancies hampering an efficient interconnection between planning by objectives and capability planning and, as a conclusion, the analysis proposes a definition of the core problem which causes respective discrepancies.

The Terminology of Peace Support Operations and Their Definition in Doctrinal Documents of the Czech Armed Forces

Nonreviewed - Review

brigádní generál Ing. Jaromír Zůna, MSc., Ph.D.,

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 4/2014, Vol. XXIII. (LV.): 109-123 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.23.2014.04.109-123

The aim of this article is to clarify the terminology of Peace Support Operations. This article briefly explains the evolution and history of peacekeeping operations, as well as the basic concepts and operations division of NATO Peace Support Operations. An important part of this article is the definition of Peacekeeping Operations in the doctrinal documents of the Czech Armed Forces.
Peace Support Operations are dynamic and challenging activities. The intensity and complexity of Peace Support Operations has been increasing. That is why their political and military ambitions have been increasing too. There is a reason why authors explain this issue for readers, which is the main goal of this article.

Russia's New Generation Warfare and Latvia

Nonreviewed - Other

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 3/2014, Vol. XXIII. (LV.): 112-122

Russia's actions in the Ukraine have changed the security situation in the Baltic region, which makes NATO's long-term presence in Latvia essential for the Latvian Republic. The impacts of Russian actions on Latvian defence policy are discussed in the paper by Mr Janis Berzinš,Managing Director of the Centre for Security and Defence Research, National Defence Academy of Latvia, in Policy Paper, No. 2, 2014. It is a new way of intervention, new-generation warfare, without the employment of armed combats, using mostly influence and coercion, by means of covert operations. Abridged and adapted. The original English text is available at http://www.naa.mil.lv/~/media/NAA/AZPC/Publikacijas/PP%2002-2014.ashx. Even though the study came into being in April 2014, the editors regard it worthy to be published, being timeless and with general validity.

Some Remarks about the Professional Military Education of Officers

Reviewed - Review

Brigádní generál Ing. Jaromír Zůna, Ph.D., MSc.,podplukovník Ing. Bohuslav Pernica, Ph.D.

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 1/2014, Vol. XXIII. (LV.): 164-177 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.23.2014.01.164-177

Each officer is obligated to meet his or her qualification requirements, identified in the job description. In order to obtain a required military qualification, officers are usually send to a training course, which is either provided or organized under the auspice of the Ministry of Defence. The discussion within the Armed Forces of the Czech Republic about the system of military courses has been ongoing for the last two decades. Although the system of officers´ development is periodically reviewed, a certain economic paradox still remains. While the number of officers without adequate qualification is not diminishing, at the same time there is a segment of officers who exceed their qualification requirements, but they do not make any progress in their military careers. Despite the situation, these officers are required to take additional training and educational activities.

The Future of Czech Defence System

Reviewed - Review

PhDr. Antonín Rašek

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 1/2013, Vol. XXII. (LIV.): 113-130 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.22.2013.01.113-130

Methodically, presented study comes out of a book by Martin Potůček at al. Studying the Future as a Challenge. Its author offers a comprehensive characteristic of several fundamental challenges to social forecasting. It begins by defining forecasting as the formulation of conditional accounts of possible futures. The main forecasting theme to be solved are as follows: ageing Czech population as a security problem, corruption, criminality, organized crime as a tool of political and economy instability, the marginalization of Czech Armed Forces in context of globalization and overall European defence, possible threat of the collapse of Czech defence system.

A Brief Insight into the History of Operational Art and its Contemporary Aspects (Part II)

Military art

Ing. Ján Spišák

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 3/2012, Vol. XXI. (LIII.): 48-54 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.21.2012.03.048-054

Operational art is the use of creative thinking by commanders and staffs to design strategies, campaigns, and major operations and organize and employ military forces. This article is a sequel to the study published in a previous issue of this Military Revue. The author discusses the fundamental pillars of operational art, upon which Alliance countries build their doctrinal and defence documents concerning operational art. A separate section deals with conditions and status of operational art in the Army of the Czech Republic in the last 20 years. The author calls for the need to introduce operational art in several key areas of Czech doctrines. He recalls the necessity to implement those issues in the prepared Doctrine of the ACR.

A Brief Insight into the History of Operational Art and its Contemporary Aspects (Part I)

Military art

Ing. Ján Spišák

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 2/2012, Vol. XXI. (LIII.): 34-39 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.21.2012.02.034-039

Understanding the importance and role of present-day operational art is not always a matter of knowledge of relevant doctrinal publications or the use of experiences from military operations. Number of aspects of operational art had their roots deep in the history of warfare. Many of them are unknown or forgotten. This article aims to give the reader some basic information about the context that led to the awareness of the need of operational art and finally to real fulfilling the imaginary gap between strategy and tactics, which was the place for operational art. The article briefly describes the background of the emergence of operational art and the approach of two basic schools of military theory: Soviet and German that were crucial to its development.

Decisive Points Concept (Part II)

Military art

Ing. Ján Spišák

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 4/2011, Vol. XX. (LII.): 65-73

The article continues explanation basic operational terms, familiarizes readers with true theoretical fundamentals of the key element of operational design - the decisive point. Basic doctrinal interpretations are described and explained. Its introduction and utilization is visible during the operational planning process and elaboration of operational design. The concept of decisive point has a close connection to the other concepts, namely lines of operations, the centre of gravity and the end state. The concept is further evolved via example of peace support military operation planning process. Key words: decisive points, decisive conditions, lines of operations, centre of gravity, effect, kinetic, nonkinetic operations, doctrine.

Evidence of Artillery Ammunition Ballistic Characteristics Using Barcodes within an Automated Artillery Fire Control System

Reviewed - Research

kpt. Ing. Karel Šilinger, Ph.D., mjr. Ing. Mgr. Martin Blaha, Ph.D., prof. Ing. Ladislav Potužák, CSc.

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 4/2015, Vol. XXIV. (LVI.): 38-46 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.24.2015.04.038-046

This article contains the essence of the modular part of an automated artillery fire control system, which will enable automated detection of artillery ammunition ballistic characteristics using barcodes placed on missiles and cartridges. The article describes the current state of evidence of artillery ammunition ballistic characteristics, presents possible approaches to the concept of evidence of artillery ammunition ballistic characteristics using barcodes, defines the framework requirements for the automation of this part of artillery fire ballistics preparation, describes the determination of the distance individual corrections resulting from the artillery ammunition ballistic characteristics and states possible ways to automated processing overview of artillery ammunition carried by the conveyors of missiles and cartridges.

Combat Rations for Troical Regions and their Nutritional Value

Reviewed - Research

doc. Ing. Jan Hrabě, Ph.D., Prof. Ing. Ignác Hoza, Dr.Sc., MUDr. Pavel Budínský, Ph.D, Ing. Luděk Novák, Daniel Benda

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 4/2015, Vol. XXIV. (LVI.): 47-57 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.24.2015.04.046-057

The article specifies combat rations developed specifically for military catering in tropical regions (CRTRs). The ingredients and use value of foods used in these rations identified as CRTRs are different from those of previously established combat rations (CRs). When establishing them, specific requirements for each food component had to be respected, in particular with respect to storage conditions, use of foods with a long minimum shelf life (MSL) at extreme temperatures, reduced weight of the foods used, and adequate amount of beverages. The TCRs were developed by MEDIAP Slušovice, who designed 7 variants of these rations in total. Nutritional value tests and sensory evaluations following the storage test at modified temperatures after the thermostat test at a tropical temperature of 55 °C were made by the panel of evaluators in the laboratory of the College of Business and Hotel Management in Brno, Tomas Bata University in Zlín.

How to Ensuere Population Protection During Endangering of the State, and the State of War?

Nonreviewed - Research

Ing. Jiří Halaška, Ph.D., prof. MUDr. Leoš Navrátil, CSc.

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 4/2015, Vol. XXIV. (LVI.): 58-67 | DOI: 10.3849/1210-3292.24.2015.04.058-067

The lecture discusses the possible forms and methods for further development of Population protection, focusing on implementation of measures to protect the population at higher crisis status. The aim of the lecture is to analyze possible priorities, resources, and procedures for population protection in serious and large-scale crisis situations using all available forces and capabilities of the State and citizens. The work also deals with the possibility of more effective measures of population protection during announcement of higher crisis status generating additional forces and means and methods for the management of these measures. The aim of the work is among other things to point out the fact that the measures of population protection must be prepared in perspective and comprehensive and must reflect the potential risks, including the large scale crisis, which may be occur in the territory.

Back to the Future: Counterfactuals and Scenarios in Defense Research and Planning

Reviewed - Review

RNDr. Jan Kofroň, Ph.D.

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 3/2015, Vol. XXIV. (LVI.): 48-61 | DOI: 10.3849/1210-3292.24.2015.03.048-061

Defense planning and research has to engage with questions about future developments quite often. Solutions to these questions tend to be hazy due to (I) the missing data, or due to (II) the necessity to build long-term prognoses, which are - by their very nature - only remotely related to any current or historical empirical cases. Under these conditions counterfactuals and their specific - future- oriented - form: scenarios, offer a valuable tool. Nevertheless, counterfactuals and scenarios, due to their limited empirical embeddedness, demand explicit and rigorous application of a theory. The article highlights often overlooked resemblance of scenarios and counterfactuals and derives from this fact some methodological implications for scenario building enterprise. Beyond that, it aims at demonstrating possible contributions as well as obstacles inherent for the use of scenarios and counterfactuals in our defense policy debates.

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