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Security in the year 2020 with the Prospects to 2050 (Summary of Security Community Views) - Part Two-the End

PhDr. Antonín Rašek

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 2/2006, Vol. XV. (XLVII.): 120-138

This second and closing part of this security study covers decades before the half of this century. The leading role in prevention and fight against armed conflicts will rest namely upon intelligence services. It is also expected the mass use of nonlethal weapons. The US will stay as the only leading superpower, minority expects a plurality model, i.e. the US will be only first among the equals. Some predicts the collapse of the EU. The Army of the Czech Republic ought to achieve full operational potential around the year 2012. It will take part in multinational missions. The Alliance armies should have 8 per cent of their capacities fully operable abroad. Under the preventive strategy, the regions of their prospective deployment will be in bordering countries around Europe, areas around the Eastern Mediterranean, or in the Far East. More or less, one problem remains still open: whether foreign deployments of the ACR really correspond to the interests and needs of the Czech Republic.

Security Future within the Foreign Policy Context (Risky 21st Century)

Reviewed - Research

PhDr. Miloš Balabán, Ph.D.

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 1/2006, Vol. XV. (XLVII.): 3-24

The subject of this comprehensive study: the main features of global risk society can be embodied by ecology crises, global financial crises, threat of terrorism. The article is presented as a report to military community and audience, with the underlying focus on terrorism. The author is mapping the global future in the first two decades of this century. As a small country we must pay attention to the developments in the worlds leading powers: the U.S., China, Russia, last but not least, within the EU. Those themes also present individual headings of this study. He treats energy, demography, peace, security, good neighbourly relations, cooperation between states that are most desirable goals we want to reach. In a way, as the main actor of worlds security situation till 2020 is identified Islamist terrorism (radical Islamists, Al Qaeda). At the end Mr. Balabán recalls the former "Security Policy of the Czech Republic" released ten years ago, reminding us the necessity to be prepared for the worst scenarios.

Ethic Argumentation Structures Used in Discussion over the War in Iraq

Opinions, controversy

Pplk. Mgr. Tomáš Holub

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 1/2006, Vol. XV. (XLVII.): 79-103

The main theme of this extensive paper is ethical evaluation of the state of affairs in Iraq that would play greater role - directly or indirectly - in the decision-making of foremost politicians, more role then we might think. Although the author quotes various positive or negative attitudes towards the war, he does not intend to prove or refute presented theses. He broadly treats e.g. the so-called just-war, events when imminent threat might be a case for war, moral clarity in a time of war, situations when we consider that our aims might be achieved by peaceful means. Last but not least, he writes about attitudes of church leaders, the Holy See, lines of their reasoning. The armed forces are called upon to do their duty. The greater the threat, the grater is the risk of inaction, the more compelling the case for taking anticipatory actions. In such case, the governments make their final decisions. It is not the responsibility of church-leaders or military commanders. To obey it, it would not be in conflict with the churches teaching. In these circumstances, the troops could regard an order to go to battle as morally decent, in pursuit of a moral good purpose.

Security in the Year 2020 with the Prospects to 2050 (Summary of Security Community Views) - Part One

Military sociology

PhDr. Antonín Rašek

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 1/2006, Vol. XV. (XLVII.): 121-138

Summary of Security Com174 munity Views - Part One. Despite the fact that most of the predictions made in the early 20th century did not realized, there are still plenty of arguments for drawing security prognoses as the only method assessing synthetic alternatives of future progress. The future is not unequivocally determined, as the all comprising development is strongly influenced by subjective motives. We must have scenarios upon which we can act, operate, namely in the field of security. The government ought to set clearly our security agenda, where and why we are going to make possible military engagement. All further actions are developing from those prognoses, i.e. buying tanks, helicopters, parachutes, armoured vehicles, etc. The first part of this security study covers several predictions containing even some controversial visions. They are based upon the opinion survey done among members of Czech military community. The field of investigation comprises EU, US, North Korea, Iran, Iraq, Africa, Asia, even hypothetic Russia-China conflict, terrorism, weapons of mass destruction, and the like.

Fulltext search in archive

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Security in the year 2020 with the Prospects to 2050 (Summary of Security Community Views) - Part Two-the End

PhDr. Antonín Rašek

Security Future within the Foreign Policy Context (Risky 21st Century)

PhDr. Miloš Balabán, Ph.D.

Ethic Argumentation Structures Used in Discussion over the War in Iraq

Pplk. Mgr. Tomáš Holub

Security in the Year 2020 with the Prospects to 2050 (Summary of Security Community Views) - Part One

PhDr. Antonín Rašek

Mezinarodni politicke a vojenske organizace, organy a opatreni pro zvladani krizovych situaci

Plukovník Ing. Vladimír Šilhan, CSc., MSc

Asymetricke valky

PhDr. Jan Eichler, CSc.

Postaveni a role Bezpecnostni rady statu jako soucasti bezpecnostniho systemu Ceske republiky

Jan Závěšický

Rozpracovani reformy ACR ve zmenenem zdrojovem ramci

Ing. Jan Váňa

Mnohonarodni vojenska spoluprace a zeme Beneluxu

Mgr. Radek Khol, MA

Dusledna reforma nemeckych ozbrojenych sil

Treti svetova valka

Predpoklady tvorby bezpecnostni politiky po vstupu Ceske republiky do Evropske unie

PhDr. Antonín Rašek

Bezpecnostni politika Ceske republikypri vstupu do Evropske unie

PhDr. Antonín Rašek

Vnejsi a vnitrni bezpecnost zeme

PhDr. Antonín Rašek

K profesionalizaci delostreleckych profesi

Podplukovník Ing. Luděk Krzystek

Struktura a dosavadni cinnost Bezpecnostni rady statu

Ing. Oldřich Šesták, Ing. Karel Prskavec

Bezpecnostni rizika CR a nase reakce na ne

PhDr. Miroslav Purkrábek, CSc.,, PhDr. Antonín Rašek

Ceske ozbrojene sily po roce 1990 v zahranici

Generálmajor Ing. Petr Voznica, CSc., podplukovník Ing. Miroslav Žirovnický

Otazniky vojenskeho umeni

Ing. Josef Janošec, CSc., plukovník gšt. Ing. Vlastimil GaIatík, CSc.

Psychologicke a informacni operace

mjr. Ing.Josef Procházka

English Annotation

Zahranicni intervence a separatisticke konflikty v Evrope v devadesatych letech

Budoucnost specialnich operaci

English Annotation

Objevuje se novy pojem: humanitarniintervence

Media a valka v Kosovu

Funkce, pozice a role prezidenta CR - vrchnihovelitele ozbrojenych sil - a problemy rozvijeniteorie vojenstvi

PhDr. Karel Jícha

Planovani polniho tazeni: vojevudcovske umeni

Ukoly Armady Ceske republiky a jak je naplnovat

Plk. gšt. Ing. Milan Kubeša, CSc.

Dedictvi Kosova a budoucnost NATO

Bezpecnostni politika Ceske republiky
pri vstupu do Evropske unie

Objevuje se novy pojem: humanitarni
intervence

Funkce, pozice a role prezidenta CR - vrchniho
velitele ozbrojenych sil - a problemy rozvijeni
teorie vojenstvi