Fulltext search in archive

The process of modelling the new multipolar world will last for several decades, its key features will be evident till 2020. The rise of multipolar world is as important as the end of "cold war", some twenty years ago. The author sees the United States as the only global superpower, but confronted with Asia, with leading power of China, and raising power of India. Russia and the EU are going to be only regional powers. He enumerates main geopolitical priorities of key world's actors: raw materials, namely oil, gas, water; intellectual potential, combat of ideologies, with selfconfident militant Islam. All variants are still opened. Military power will remain important for completing main strategical aims, alongside with ?soft power?, economic cooperation, and diplomatic ties. The author also mentions organizations and institutions less known in Central Europe: Shanghai Cooperation Organization, APEC, ASEAN, African Union, ECOWAS, Mercosur, last but not least Barcelona Conference and European Neighbourhood Policy.

According to the study by Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI), the expenses for armament and armed conflict in the world have been increasing in the last ten years by 37 percent (in 2006), they reached 1,204 billion dollars. It is estimated that this trend will continue even the following five years. It is a leading factor for economy trends in the near future, so the author proposes coordinated national armaments policy in world arms market. The article is based upon SIPRI Yearbook 2007 ...168