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Assesment of the Development of European Air Forces in the Context of US-China CompetitionReviewed - ResearchJan Feryna, Libor KutějVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 4/2023, Vol. XXXII. (LXIV.): 123-139 The air force plays an important role in armed conflicts. It was no different in the Odyssey Dawn and Unified Protector operations in Libya in 2011. The European dependence on the US became fully apparent during those operations. After 2011, US attention has been shifted to Asia. This article focuses on the evaluation of the development of European air forces from 2011 to 2021 in the context of the shift of US attention to Asia. The article uses a dataset to compare the number of aircraft in specific categories in 2011 and 2021. The research shows that European states maintain a fleet of around 2,000 fighter jets, while compared to 2011, the number of ISR aircraft decreased from 183 to 122 and the number of air-to-air refuelling aircraft from 70 to 67. In contrast, the number of MALE unmanned vehicles has doubled from 45 to 91. However, in the context of the US shift Asia, those numbers are insufficient, and European states are still dependent on US support. |
From the Common Security and Defence Policy to the Common Army of the European Union?Reviewed - ReviewVojtech Jurčák, Radoslav IvančíkVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 1/2023, Vol. XXXII. (LXIV.): 18-34 Voices about the need to build a joint European Union army have been appearing on the European scene for several years, but recently these voices have become stronger, especially after the Russian invasion of Ukraine. Therefore, in the article, the authors deal with the issue of the possibility of creating a common European army. They draw on from socio-scientific political science approaches to current security frameworks, examine the current state, and at the same time point out that, despite the threats Europe is facing, there is still no clear plan for how such an army should be created. Considering the facts mentioned in the article, the authors state that the creation of a common European army, at least for now, seems unlikely, as a supranational model of the European army would require the transfer of sensitive national competences from the member states to the EU level. |
Defense Capability and Armed ForcesNonreviewed - Otherdoc. Ing. Milan Kubeša, CSc., plk. gšt. Ing. Tomáš RakVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 4/2015, Vol. XXIV. (LVI.): 68-78 The article aims at highlighting the dangers of long underestimating the need to permanently improve the defense capabilities to deal with current and future security threats. Authors suggest propositions on where to direct the efforts to improve the competence of the Defense to meet the Act Of Defense Requirements. The first part of the article describes, after brief analysis, the options of collective defense and explains the need to solve demanding tasks on own territory under national responsibility in parallel. The second part of the article describes the main thoughts of the theory of "territorial defense", which is missing in current Doctrine of the Armed Forces of the Czech Republic. Theory of territorial defense makes a foundation, upon which the preparedness of the Armed forces of the Czech Republic should be built. In the third part of the article the authors discuss the alternative of implementing the collective defense principle by building multinational joint forces, independent of national armed forces, in transnational responsibility of the coalition of member states, dedicated to the territorial defense of member states and to crisis response expeditionary operations. |
Applicability of Multirotors in Czech Armed ForcesReviewed - ResearchPetr Žárský, Petr Hlavizna, Jakub HnidkaVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 2/2022, Vol. XXXI. (LXIII.): 106-120 Authors of the paper present results of research in the area of deployment and operation of multirotors, i.e., autonomous aerial systems with vertical take-off and landing (VTOL) capability. Survey of Czech Army experts' opinions based on the Delphi method points to the significance of MINI VTOL UAS project undertaking - reconnaissance VTOL autonomous aerial system. The conclusion of the analysis is the identification of the primary applications of and requirements for (concept, system, and training) successful deployment of multirotors, with framing of existing issues of technical, acquisition/program and legislative nature, and determination of their importance. The paper also explores experts' views to the acquisition and operation of multirotors in Czech Army to achieve their full operational potential, certainly available in the future battlefield. Inconsistent architecture of information sharing was identified by experts as one of the most important issues with the highest likelihood of solution in the upcoming years. |
Human Resources of the Mobilization of the Czech Armed Forces at the Beginning of the 21st CenturyReviewed - ReviewPetr DosoudilVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 1/2021, Vol. XXX. (LXII.): 52-66 The article focuses on identifying the key factors of human resources within the Czech state needed to carry out mobilization of the armed forces in case of a military conflict. It primarily answers the questions of whether these factors are sufficient and can be used effectively in the mobilization process. It addresses the issue of military records, sustainability of military reserves and their profitability. It also deals with the influence of secondary factors on the possibilities of creating and training reserves, especially the motivation of citizens to defend the state and the physical fitness of the mobilized population. |
Arson Attacks in Israel - History and Options for the Elimination of Inincendiary BalloonsReviewed - ReviewAlena Slavíková, Martin Křepský, František Racek, Antonín NovotnýVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 2/2024, Vol. XXXIII. (LXV.): 130-146 The article concerns the issue of arson attacks in Israel.The issue of terrorism in Israel is quite broad, given that it is a very common phenomenon here and Israel deals with terrorism on a daily basis. The paper therefore focuses on incendiary balloons, a weapon that repeatedly caused fires around the Gaza Strip between 2018-2023. It examines their history, their design, outlines the possibilities of their elimination, the advantages and disadvantages of possible technical solutions, and a reflection on the future of their usage. |
Analysis of Taiwan Guerilla Potential - A Real Possibility or a Naive Notion?Reviewed - ReviewRichard OubělickýVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 1/2023, Vol. XXXII. (LXIV.): 35-49 Existing research about China and Taiwan deals primarily with bilateral relations, military doctrines, etc. They don't pay much attention to the consequences of the potential China-Taiwan war. The article examines conditions for emerging and activity of guerillas with paramilitant signs in the case of China's domination over Taiwan. The analysis is based on the present general, socio-economic, political, geographical, and technological environment. A substantial part of the analysis is also argumentation about the potential of urban guerilla. The article is based on data, pieces of information, polls and academic and analytical texts relevant to the main research questions. Those questions are the potential for emerging, sustainability, and effectiveness of guerilla. The article comes with findings, that argue the relatively high potential for the emergence of guerilla primarily because of the suitable environment in Taiwan and possible effectiveness and sustainability based on existing variables, which can however also limit this potential. |
An Amendment to the Environmental Policy of Czech Defence Department in 2007-2010Military professionalKpt. Ing. David Řehák, Ph.D., plk. prof. Ing. Aleš Komár, CSc.Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 3/2007, Vol. XVI. (XLVIII.): 167-172 An Amendment to the Environmental Policy of Czech Defence Department in 2007-2010 by Capt. Ing. David (Col. ret.) This short information is based upon articles widely published in 2005-06 in Western military magazines and newspapers. After September 11, 2001, NATO member states are discussing the deployment of nuclear weapons at non-strategical level. Among others, this is embarrassed by the Russian attitude and general demands of some European NATO nations to update Alliance strategy. What does it mean? There are voices to Řehák, Ph.D., Col. Prof. Ing. Aleš Komár, CSc. This proposal reflects challenges resulting from the professional assessment of departmental environmental policy. It is divided into three parts: (i) command and control; (ii) established practice; (iii) communication and education. The solution doesn't lie in the utilization of refuse, disposal of dangerous waste, passive environmental protection, but in earth-friendly attitude towards environment, active measures for damages prevention even during commanders' decision-making process. The basic principle rests on sustainable growth, backed by harmonization of economical, environmental and social aspects. Proposed environmental policy originates from State Environmental Principles and Czech membership in NATO alliance. |
Scenarios, Development, Internal Structure Scenarios and Security ThreatsReviewed - ReviewJosef MelicharVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 2/2017, Vol. XXVI. (LVIII.): 18-32 The article deals with the topic of scenarios in relation to their significance, internal structure development and the way of elaborating scenarios following links to security threats and mission types. Article describes possible way of structuring set of scenarios reflecting security threats stated in The Security strategy of the Czech Republic and corresponding mission types. Main methodology exploited during the work with the topic of scenarios was document analysis, which resulted in finding, that scenarios don't enjoy appropriate attention in the defence resort of the Czech Republic, scenarios are not elaborated and thus not exploited. The article deals in the conclusion with propositions aiming at elaborating scenarios with purposefull internal structure, elaborating security threats and reflecting mission types. |
Optimization of Lessons Learned Process and the Importance of Personnel Development in this DomainReviewed - ReviewJanka Kosecová, Richard SaibertVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 2/2018, Vol. XXVII. (LIX.): 33-52 The authors present the results of the research on the Lessons Learned process applied within the Ministry of Defence of the Czech Republic. The main purpose of the article is to introduce the proposal of the process optimization to readers. The paper describes the process in detail, and this description is used to identify procedural shortcomings exploiting the process analysis method in terms of factual and logical accuracy of the process. The following part of the article presents the results of the comparative analysis of the chosen Lessons Learned processes. The result of the comparative analysis allows authors to make in an innovative way suitable recommendations for optimizing the current state of the whole process of Lessons Learned. Based on the analysis of the educational programs, the paper proposes to include the subject of the Lessons Learned process into the learning outcomes, especially from the perspective of competency based approach to education. |
Connecting Planning and Budgeting Processes in MoD DepartmentInformational pagesPplk. Ing. Jaroslav MoravčíkVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 3/2010, Vol. XIX. (LI.): 109-115 The Ministry of Finance Regulation No. 415, 2008, sets the scope and structure of initial documents for midterm plans of state budget. The Regulation was further specified under the Order by Minister of Defence "Planning Activities and Development of Department", No. 22/2004, MoD Bulletin, October 29, 2004, now updated. It prescribes to follow the Financial Chapter of MoD by individual targets. The final objective thus becomes a specific indicator of defence spendings. This arrangement thus becomes a basic document for monitoring, evaluating and implementation of respective remedies. It will be tied with running Planning, Programming and Budgeting process. They both will share a common target database for data necessary for planning financial means. Its implementation should be accompanied by educational and schooling programmes for personnel involved, the author proposes. |
Development of Personnel of the Ministry of Defence in Career CoursesNonreviewed - OtherIng. Vojtěch Němeček, Ph.D., Ing. Jaroslav Kolkus, Ing. František MičánekVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 2/2014, Vol. XXIII. (LV.): 117-127 Career education of the Ministry of Defence (MoD) personnel is a key component to meet requirements for qualifications. As these requirements are career growth conditions for career personnel, they are inherently connected with further promotion in rank. The MoD Concept of Personnel Development for 2012-2018 sets the direction of the educational development to achieve these qualification requirements. During the process of preparation of the career courses it was revealed that some system changes should be made due to implemented or planned changes within the legislative and source framework of the Ministry of Defence.This article describes the proposal of a new concept for training of personnel in the career courses. It was prepared by a project team headed by the Centre for Security and Military Strategic Studies at the Defence University. The article also shows the development of the situation since 2004, when the professionalization of the Armed Forces of the Czech Republic occurred. |
Approach to the Assessment of the Military Potential of the State - an Example of the Russian FederationReviewed - ReviewJosef Procházka, Richard StojarVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 1/2019, Vol. XXVIII. (LX.): 3-15 The aim of the text is to present the approach to assessing the military potential of the state as well as the will or possibilities to be used to achieve national strategic interests or power objectives. This approach is methodologically based on the sectoral analysis of the state's power potential and its possible projections in the construction and use of armed forces. The described and used approach in the Ministry of Defence of the Czech Republic is applied to the current Russian Federation and its military or power activities |
Resources for Defence of the Czech Republic: Perspectives and OpportunitiesReviewed - ReviewIng. František Mičánek, plk. doc. Ing. Vladan Holcner, Ph.D., Ing. Jakub Odehnal, Ph.D., Ing. Aleš Olejníček, Ph.D., Mgr. František ŠulcVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 3/2014, Vol. XXIII. (LV.): 9-21 The paper is focused on the area of defence sources in the Czech Republic. Within an analysis of the actual situation in military spending in the Czech Republic, some potential approaches are defined to enable the reasonable and transparent allocation of resources for national defence. Based on these approaches, three courses of action are derived in order to deal with current resources inadequacy and instability in defence. |
Physical Training Information System of the Armed Forces of the Czech RepublicNonreviewed - OtherPetr Hanák, Jiří Sekanina, Tomáš RáčilVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 4/2020, Vol. XXIX. (LXI.): 94-104 The article addresses the current state of registration and evaluation of physical training of soldiers of the Army of the Czech Republic. It includes analytical and design part. The analytical part discusses the pros and cons of current evidence of physical training data and identifies the main shortcomings and problems. The article proposes the optimization of the current state through an advanced information system that would cover the current needs of physical education workers and for this purpose is currently created in the environment of the University of Defense in Brno. The article outlines the possible practical use of the information system in military practice. |
Selected models and internal structure of Capability Planning ProcessReviewed - ReviewFabian BaxaVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 2/2018, Vol. XXVII. (LIX.): 3-18 Since the 1st release of an internal ministerial norm guiding planning processes of activities and development within the Czech Ministry of Defence (MOD) presuming existence of Capability Planning Methodology, this document has not been established. This article offers selected theoretical starting points and, on their basis, it outlines possible a ministerial process tree focused on the capability process as a ground for its definition within Czech MOD conditions. Further in a framework of an added value model proposes possible internal structure of above mentioned process down to sub-processes level with justification of their purpose and mutual links. Formulating mentioned attributes of the capability planning process this article makes a contribution to set up this process within the Czech MOD. |
The Path to Bucha: Organisational Practices of the Russian Army and Violence against NoncombatantsReviewed - ReviewTomáš KučeraVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 4/2022, Vol. XXXI. (LXIII.): 81-102 The Bucha massacre raises the question of whether the Russian army predisposes its soldiers to unlawful violence against civilians. This article assumes that regardless of superior orders, perpetrators of violence must overcome the psychological barriers developed during socialisation. The psychological mechanism of "moral disengagement" allows soldiers to kill in combat and act violently on civilians. The duty of the armed forces is not only to prepare soldiers to fight and kill but also to prevent illegal violence. The case of the Russian army demonstrates how formal activities to prevent moral disengagement and violations of the International Humanitarian Law (IHL) face insurmountable obstacles in the form of institutional culture and insufficient human capital. |
Present Trends, Emergencies and Their Impact on Supply Chain SecurityReviewed - ResearchDušan Repík, Natálie Hanáková, Jan Kotisa, Pavel FoltinVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 3/2023, Vol. XXXII. (LXIV.): 63-81 The article examines the impact of recent geopolitical, economic, and security changes on logistics support capabilities in EU and NATO member states. The study analyzes the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic and the armed conflict in Ukraine on logistics supply chains, considering environmental, social, and security concerns. The research questions focus on identifying the main changes and assessing their implications for commercial, military, and humanitarian logistics. The prolongation of the conflict in Ukraine and the economic sanctions imposed on Russia have been found to have a significant impact on logistics capabilities, perceptions of the structure of supply chains and the risks arising from this. The impact of these events is also producing third-country poverty and dehumanizing the UN SDG goals. On the other hand, improvements in NATO troop readiness and weaponry have been noted. The study highlights the need for further research to investigate specific threats for different types of supply chains and to consider the complex and evolving nature of the issue. Ultimately, this research provides insights into the challenges and opportunities facing logistics capabilities in the context of ongoing geopolitical and environmental changes. |
The Capabilities of the Army of the Czech Republic to Conduct Military Operations in the Tropical RainforestReviewed - ReviewDaniel BuršíkVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 1/2020, Vol. XXIX. (LXI.): 71-84 The article is focusing on challenges connected with execution of the Czech Army military operations in tropical rainforest under umbrella of international organization. The military engagements in the tropical climate depends on unit general characterization and necessary unit competency insufficiently specified in the Czech Army Catalogue of Capabilities. The Czech Army Catalogue of Capabilities standardizes training methods, training cost, and required training area and required training equipment and material. Based on experience gained from the training of the Czech military personnel in Jungle Training Centre in French Guyana, we can assess that to attain required skills for jungle operational environment acquires a few weeks. The international organizations are capable to provide necessary training for jungle operational environment in order to reach required level of skills and competencies before operation execution. |
Do Economic Determinants Affect the Size of Military Spending?Reviewed - ResearchLenka Brigzalová, Vojtěch Müllner, Jakub Odehnal, Jiří NeubauerVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 3/2022, Vol. XXXI. (LXIII.): 63-83 The article aims to identify the dependence of military expenditures and selected economic determinants on the example of the V4 countries in the years 1999-2020. The following are selected as economic determinants: the size of the gross domestic product, the rate of inflation, the debt and deficit of the government sector and unemployment. Correlation analysis proved the expected relationship between the gross domestic product and the military expenditure of Hungary and especially Poland. The relationship between military spending and unemployment was confirmed for Poland, Hungary and Slovakia, the expected relationship between military spending and government debt for the Czech Republic. The linear regression model confirmed the positive effect of the gross domestic product on military expenditure in the case of Poland, the effect of the increase in military expenditure due to rising inflation in Hungary and the negative effect of increasing state indebtedness in the case of the Czech Republic. At the same time, the results did not confirm the uniformity of the factors affecting the size of the military factors in the analyzed V4 countries. |
Character of the War in Ukraine and its Implications for the Czech RepublicReviewed - ResearchJaroslav Galba, Josef ProcházkaVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 4/2023, Vol. XXXII. (LXIV.): 45-65 Current War in Ukraine represents conventional conflict of high intensity unparallel in contemporary European history. Using a qualitative method, authors present character of the war and identify its key specifics through multi-domain optics. A preliminary set of recommendations is derived from these results for the national defense capability of Czech Republic. Authors conclude that both State and the Armed Forces must increase their readiness for the large-scale conflict. |
Approaches to Modernizing the Land Forces of Selected CountriesReviewed - ReviewVladimír Vyklický, Ivo Pikner, Josef ProcházkaVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 1/2022, Vol. XXXI. (LXIII.): 3-20 The modernization of armaments and military technology is one of the ways to increase the combat potential of the Armed Forces and has implications at all levels of the Armed Forces. Its main purpose is to replace obsolete technology with new ones to prepare the Armed Forces to meet the new challenges of the future security environment. New technologies play a key role in this regard. Not only the Armed Forces of the Czech Republic, but also other NATO and EU member states have planned significant modernization projects for conventional military conflict but also unconventional, asymmetric and hybrid conflicts. The authors examine approaches to the modernization of the Land Forces of selected countries. Finally, the armament strategy of selected countries is compared with the armament strategy of the Czech Republic's Land Forces. |
A War Gaming in the Context of a Computer Simulation of CombatReviewed - ResearchJiří Černý, Vladimír Vráb, Jan ZezulaVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 3/2023, Vol. XXXII. (LXIV.): 82-95 The war game is a respected tool for commanders' decision-making. Its preparation, execution, and evaluation of results require precise organization and a considerable time commitment. However, the time aspect is a limiting factor in the current dynamic era to a rather objectified evaluation of the variants of operation execution. The article does not describe the process of wargame preparation, it focuses on the execution phase, where it presents the use of a particular simulation system in wargames and under which theoretical conditions the results of combat simulation can be considered valid. It also evaluates the time efficiency of its use in a wargame. It has been experimentally verified that the tested simulation system can be used for a wargame especially in the accelerated simulation mode. The configuration of the computing system was also verified, which allowed a substantial acceleration of the simulation run of the wargame scenario. |
Factors Shaping the Employment of Military Force from the Perspective of the War in UkraineReviewed - ReviewMichal Hrnčiar, Jaroslav KompanVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 1/2023, Vol. XXXII. (LXIV.): 69-82 The study presents a meritorious view of the traditional operational factors of space, time and force. On the background of the first and second phases of the War in Ukraine, it examines how the relevant factors shape the use of military force in operations, clarifies their mutual correlation, interference, application connections and also causality. The results of the study demonstrate the necessity of a correct and holistic perception of operational factors for effective deployment and employment of military forces in the contemporary operating environment. The main benefit of the study, applying the heuristic and inventive function of analogy from the open sources of available identified knowledge from the deployment of military forces in the War in Ukraine, is the mediation of model examples of a comprehensive vision of the effects of how operational factors shape the use of military force in contemporary high-intensity warfare operations. |
Humanitarian Transit Camp For Refugees. Construction and Operation Experiences.Nonreviewed - OtherVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 2/2023, Vol. XXXII. (LXIV.): 119-134 An article describes a humanitarian camp at Mokraď in Slovakia, built up by the Czech Army in cooperation with the Armed Forces of Slovak republic, as a reaction on refugee crises caused by the war in Ukraine. All phases of the development, preparation, movement and transportation, construction and operation are mentioned there, an internal structure, used technical means and involvement of personnel, lessons identified and recommendations included, leading to increase of efficiency of similar activities in the future. |
Some Legal Aspects of Western Military Aid to UkraineReviewed - ReviewMartin TomaštíkVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 3/2023, Vol. XXXII. (LXIV.): 3-18 The article deals with the some legal aspects of Western military aid to Ukraine. The first part briefly analyzes the Russian Federation's attack on Ukraine from a "just war" perspective. The following part is devoted to individual perspectives of different branches of international law on military aid to Ukraine - the law of neutrality, ius ad bellum, ius in bello, issues of co-belligerency and state responsibility for complicity in internationally illegal actions. The conclusion summarizes the findings and gives an answer to the question why Western aid to Ukraine mostly does not violate the norms of international law. |
Language Programme Innovation at the Defence UniversityLanguage preparationPaedDr. Stanislava Jonáková, RNDr. Oldřich Kříž, PhDr. Mária Šikolová, Ph.D.Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 1/2010, Vol. XIX. (LI.): 191-197 The article is oriented towards making up language curriculum at the Faculty of Military Technology, Defence University. It is a follow-up to earlier essays published in Vojenské rozhledy 2006-2007, dealing with language preparation of learners enrolled at the Defence University, i.e. at educational institution with technical bias. The authors analyse the optimalization of current schedule used for teaching English language. Data were collected by means of questionnaire poll. The cluster of respondents covered both teachers giving lessons under mentioned scheme and university students preparing themselves in accordance with tested scheme. The results reached proved the necessity to form language curriculum at several levels and concept of flat language teaching. |
Where Are You Going, Defence Department?Opinions, controversyPplk. Ing. Karel VávraVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 1/2009, Vol. XVIII. (L.): 68-75 The autor responds to several articles published in our Military Review, namely by Prof. František Ochrana, Prof. František Božek, Brigadier Rudolf Urban, Prof. Miroslav Krč, in No. 4/2008, with special appreciation to critical articles by Ing. Jiří Dušek and Lt.Col. Ing František Růžička in the same issue. He tries to find out common denominators of those essays. There are three of them: economization tied with rationalization, risk management, and information compatibility. As necessary he regards to unite those denominators both at the level of decision making officials and at the level of their subordinated elements, by means of e.g. working teams as a guarantee of coordination, so that the adopted Long-term Vision of Defence Department could be actually realized. |
Analysis of the Use of the Implementation Tool of Development Projects in the Czech Armed ForcesReviewed - ResearchPetr Křížek, Vladimír Vyklický, Aleš TesařVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 4/2022, Vol. XXXI. (LXIII.): 159-171 The article describes the reasons that led to the development of the implementation tool for development projects used by the Czech Ministry of Defence to simplify the planning processes and the experience of its users with the tool. Modernization of the army is one of the basic building blocks needed to achieve the goals set by the state's security strategies. A comprehensive approach is necessary to perform many consecutive activities, such as project management, risk management, and others. To streamline the processes needed for the preparation and planning of development projects, the Czech Armed Forces issued a methodology to create an implementation plan for the acquisition of new military equipment in 2021. The purpose of this article is to present the results of the analysis of experience with its annual use in practice. |
The Future of Czech Defence SystemReviewed - ReviewPhDr. Antonín RašekVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 1/2013, Vol. XXII. (LIV.): 113-130 Methodically, presented study comes out of a book by Martin Potůček at al. Studying the Future as a Challenge. Its author offers a comprehensive characteristic of several fundamental challenges to social forecasting. It begins by defining forecasting as the formulation of conditional accounts of possible futures. The main forecasting theme to be solved are as follows: ageing Czech population as a security problem, corruption, criminality, organized crime as a tool of political and economy instability, the marginalization of Czech Armed Forces in context of globalization and overall European defence, possible threat of the collapse of Czech defence system. |

