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Some Remarks about the Professional Military Education of OfficersReviewed - ReviewBrigádní generál Ing. Jaromír Zůna, Ph.D., MSc.,podplukovník Ing. Bohuslav Pernica, Ph.D.Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 1/2014, Vol. XXIII. (LV.): 164-177 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.23.2014.01.164-177 Each officer is obligated to meet his or her qualification requirements, identified in the job description. In order to obtain a required military qualification, officers are usually send to a training course, which is either provided or organized under the auspice of the Ministry of Defence. The discussion within the Armed Forces of the Czech Republic about the system of military courses has been ongoing for the last two decades. Although the system of officers´ development is periodically reviewed, a certain economic paradox still remains. While the number of officers without adequate qualification is not diminishing, at the same time there is a segment of officers who exceed their qualification requirements, but they do not make any progress in their military careers. Despite the situation, these officers are required to take additional training and educational activities. |
The White Paper and the Security of the Czech RepublicOpinions, controversyPhDr. Antonín RašekVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 4/2011, Vol. XX. (LII.): 86-92 The existence of the Czech Army is at state. We need to get over present cut in military budget, ill-advised savings, without searching for new appropriate financial and material sources. To save something important means always to sacrifice or to give up something. Some security and military experts wish to dissociate themselves with approved methods. They think that the White Paper doesn't express opinions on many important things. It assumed that after five years there will be need to revise this White Book. So, proposes the author, wouldn't be better for us to regard the White Book only as an analytical document containing certain proposals for the following Defence Strategy of the CR, as originally intended? |
Present-day Notions on Military DeceptionsMilitary artDoc. Ing. Milan Kubeša, CSc.Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 3/2011, Vol. XX. (LII.): 60-65 In the previous Military Review we introduced the article "Will Military Deception Pass Away?" by the same author. In the Army of the Czech Republic we have no manual dealing with military deception (MILDEC). The only manual concerning MILDEC was abolished without any substitute. But military art can't be further developed without similar documents. Today we take MILDEC as a complex set of provisions misleading enemy's commanders and staff, by means of false information and counterfeit data that deliberately deceive adversary decision-makers and planners. Use of MILDEC during any phase of an operation also helps to mislead adversaries as to the strength, readiness, locations, and intended missions of friendly forces. The MILDEC could contribute to the successful accomplishment of the assigned mission by many ways. |
Will Military Deception Pass Away?Opinions, controversyDoc. Ing. Milan Kubeša, CSc.Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 2/2011, Vol. XX. (LII.): 97-100 There are no military conflicts without deception, as it is among others a very cheap method how to contribute to the successful accomplishment of the assigned mission. Military deception (MILDEC) is applicable across a wide range of military operations. MILDEC can be conducted during all phases of military operations at strategic, operational, and tactical levels. It is defined as being those actions executed to deliberately mislead adversary decision makers as to friendly military capabilities, intentions, and operations, thereby causing the adversary to take specific actions (or inactions) that will contribute to the accomplishment of the friendly mission. According to he author, the operational deception is to be explained in more detail, basic rules are to be outlined, including fundamental principles and methods of deception for operational planning. |
Military Keynesianism, Defence Expenditures and the Growth of Economy Militarization in Advanced Countries of WorldInformational pagesIng. Vendula Hynková, Ph.D., doc. dr. Luboš Štancl, CSc.Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 4/2010, Vol. XIX. (LI.): 108-120 Keynesian economics argues that private sector decisions sometimes lead to inefficient macroeconomic outcomes and therefore advocates active policy responses by the public sector, including monetary policy actions and fiscal policy actions by the government to stabilize output over the business cycle. This paper defines the core of Keynesian economics in the mirror of defence expenditures and their influence on country's economy growth. The main attention is paid to the analysis of military-industrial complex and its pressure on armed forces, as one of most important factors introducing a danger of the so-called militarization of both state economy of advanced industrial countries and their social life. |
Does Graduate Education of Military Professionals Need a Reform?Opinions, controversyBrig. gen. Ing. Jaromír Zůna, MSc., pplk. Ing. Bohuslav Pernica, Ph.D.Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 3/2010, Vol. XIX. (LI.): 72-83 The article sums up the evolution of the Czech officers' qualification structure since the start of downsizing in 1990 and provides an outlook beyond 2010. At the early 90's graduate education used to be only for officers. A total of 65 % were holding university degrees. Today this number reaches 98 %, with 3 % holding Ph.D. or CSc. degrees. There is also an increase in numbers of WOs with graduate education, it is 4 %, despite the fact that such qualification is not necessary for them. Authors discuss this evolution and compare it with the ageing of the Czech population and overall academic education system. The gradual decrease of people aged 20-24 till 2020 is an important challenge to reforming recruitment and education of junior officers. The reform is needed to avoid deficits in quality junior officers and consequently the lack of personnel selection for military education at the University of Defence. |
Environmental Aspects of Military Training and the Impacts Classification on Living SurroundingsMilitary professionalKpt. Ing. David Řehák, Ph.D., mjr. Ing. Milan Haška, Ph.D.Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 4/2007, Vol. XVI. (XLVIII.): 187-192 The main objective of the ACR is the most effective and best defence of the country, with the use of principles of collective defence. But the military activities are accompanied by damages, wastes in living environment. The classification of those effects is being done by the method called Hazard and Impact Index that enables to set probable damages in advance and to adopt preventive measures to prevent them. The process starts with evaluating objects that might be endanger, materials, vehicles, activities, energy, together with impact on environment. Impact groups are divided roughly into two groups: natural surrounding, and socio-cultural surrounding. Some are expected, other unexpected, frequently they are mixed. Most of military damages are unintended, accidental. The article is accompanied by the tables introducing figures of Hazard and Impact Index. |
New Management Trends in the 21st Century and Preparation Prospecs of Military ManagerMilitary professionalDoc. Ing. Vítězslav Stodůlka, CSc., pplk. Ing. Miroslav MašlejVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 2/2007, Vol. XVI. (XLVIII.): 170-175 In November 2006, there was the international conference organized by the Defence University Brno "Tactics 2006". This article is based upon several presentations held at this conference and presents main ideas in this field. They are as follows: validity of management assumptions in the 21st century (changes), new trends in management styles and their application in military science, current state of management schooling at military schools, possible directions and perspectives of management education. Military management covers not only classical managerial subjects, but comprises rich spectrum of items commanders might use, including e.g. knowledge of etiquette. Now we are familiarized with recent trends and it is only upon us to introduce them into practice, so that graduates from military schools could use them in practice. |
Critical Analysis of Interconnection between Planning by Objectives and Capability PlanningReviewed - ResearchPlukovník gšt. Ing. Zdeněk PetrášVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 4/2014, Vol. XXIII. (LV.): 3-24 | DOI: 10.3849/1210-3292.23.2014.04.003-024 The article brings outcomes from the critical analysis of interaction between planning by objectives and capability planning. The analysis is based on the assumption that the strategic decision-making process should be assisted by a systemic tool, enabling a financial assessment of capabilities, identified as a prerequisite for accomplishing politico-military ambitions. Taking into account the current planning system, as implemented within the Ministry of Defence, the planning by objectives might become this tool. However, for providing an efficient planning by objectives, it is necessary to derive relevant findings from the capability planning, which basically includes data on capability assessment, identified capability shortfalls and their prioritisation. Therefore, findings from capability planning process are a keystone for conceiving objectives for the area of capability development. Both capability planning and planning by objectives are to be seen as communicating conveyances, where a level of mutual interactions significantly influences effectiveness of defence performance management. |
Why to Afghanistan? Skills, Money or Ideals?Reviewed - ResearchMgr. Jitka Laštovková, Ph.D., plk. PhDr. Kateřina BernardováVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 4/2014, Vol. XXIII. (LV.): 40-50 | DOI: 10.3849/1210-3292.23.2014.04.040-050 The motivation and professional values of soldiers involved in Other People's Wars is one of the most important knowledge necessary for effective command and control. Those were main reasons for an extensive questionnaire survey among soldiers, deployed in PRT ISAF in 2010-2011. One of the key topics was motivation to leave for Afghanistan, professional expectations and evaluations of external and internal environment of the mission. The purpose of this paper is to present the basic outlines of values of today's Czech soldiers, their professional motives and expectations. The results are interpreted in the context of Moskos' theory of the contradiction between institutional and occupational orientations of present armed forces and adapted to the actual social and political state of affairs. |
Information Operations on the Background of Contemporary Armed ConflictsReviewed - ReviewMjr. Ing. Tomáš NovákVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 4/2014, Vol. XXIII. (LV.): 51-62 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.23.2014.04.051-062 The article presents the theory of information operations on the background of contemporary armed conflicts in Ukraine, Iraq and Syria. In the introduction, information is presented as a phenomenon and the accelerator of social development. It outlines basic information channels that deliver security information to their recipients. Furthermore, the article discusses security and operational environment and also vulnerabilities being caused by increasing dependence on information. The core of the article are information operations presented in theory with the author's commentary on real application in military practice and in terms of the Czech Armed Forces. As part of information operations are subsequently introduced psychological operations, computer network operations and electronic warfare. The article ends with real examples of information and psychological operations in modern warfare, and conditions of their management in the Czech Armed Forces. The conclusion summarizes the general idea of the security environment and information operations, and stresses the importance of information operations in current and future conflicts. |
Education in Security System of the Czech RepublicReviewed - ReviewIng. Vladimír Karaffa, CSc.Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 4/2014, Vol. XXIII. (LV.): 63-74 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.23.2014.04.063-074 Attributes and quality of the security system of the Czech Republic depend on the quality of human potential, which is part of institutions to guarantee security in the broadest sense of the word. The preparation of the staff of each part of the security system, as defined in the Security Strategy of the Czech Republic (2011), is performed in universities, colleges, and middle schools, training facilities, scientific research facilities and by employers. The capacity of educational institutions, in effect exceeds requirements of practice. The coordination of their activities and the content of education are managed by twelve-year-old conceptual document that has been in need of updating. This paper discusses those aspects and points out directions and ideas for addressing of some problems of current practice, and also some of the challenges of the future. |
Theory of Peace as a Contradiction to War ScienceReviewed - OtherDoc. PhDr. Felix Černoch, CSc.Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 4/2014, Vol. XXIII. (LV.): 133-141 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.23.2014.04.133-141 The peace is a state of affairs among states, nations and mankind, characterized by a friendly coexistence, solving matters in dispute by means of negotiations and accords, without use of armed and physical forces or psychological coercion. For preserving peace it is important to respect state sovereignty, independence, the right of nations to define their own courses. The theory of peace, dealing with those items, being introduced by the following article, is called paxology. |
Strategy and Strategy Culture in the Early 21st CenturyNonreviewed - OtherDoc. PhDr. Jan Eichler, CSc.Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 4/2014, Vol. XXIII. (LV.): 142-151 Strategy and strategic culture influence everyday lives of soldier and military units, as well as the system of their preparation for combats. In case of wars, they have a decisive impact on the destiny of civilian population. The strategic culture of every state has its national, international and historic dimensions. The article explains the criteria of militarism, because those phenomena were typical for a history of some states. First and foremost, backed by the analysis of a dramatic development of the strategic culture of the US during the first decade of the 21st century, the article concludes and explains its core and importance for our contemporary world. |
Resources for Defence of the Czech Republic: Perspectives and OpportunitiesReviewed - ReviewIng. František Mičánek, plk. doc. Ing. Vladan Holcner, Ph.D., Ing. Jakub Odehnal, Ph.D., Ing. Aleš Olejníček, Ph.D., Mgr. František ŠulcVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 3/2014, Vol. XXIII. (LV.): 9-21 | DOI: 10.3849/1210-3292.23.2014.03.009-021 The paper is focused on the area of defence sources in the Czech Republic. Within an analysis of the actual situation in military spending in the Czech Republic, some potential approaches are defined to enable the reasonable and transparent allocation of resources for national defence. Based on these approaches, three courses of action are derived in order to deal with current resources inadequacy and instability in defence. |
Prospective Horizons of Further Cooperation between NATO and the EUReviewed - Reviewplukovník gšt. Ing. Zdeněk PetrášVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 3/2014, Vol. XXIII. (LV.): 22-30 | DOI: 10.3849/1210-3292.23.2014.03.022-030 At present, it can be seen a tangible progress in the NATO-EU common approach to deal with challenging security issues. Paradoxically, it has been economic recession in combination with growing danger of arising armed conflicts, specifically on the European continent territory, to start up the closer cooperation between NATO and the EU. Logically, the current security situation ended in conclusions that the complementarity between NATO and the EU became a real necessity and only interaction between the Alliance and Union?s security and defence policies could bring required effects, while upholding global and local security stability. The article is available only in the Czech language. For more information please contact editors. |
Military Career Courses for Senior OfficersNonreviewed - OtherIng. Vojtěch Němeček, Ph.D., Ing. Jaroslav Kolkus, Ing. František MičánekVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 3/2014, Vol. XXIII. (LV.): 44-51 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.23.2014.03.044-051 The career education of the Ministry of Defence (MoD) personnel is a key component to meet requirements for qualifications. As these requirements are career growth conditions for career personnel, they are inherently connected with further promotion in rank. During the process of preparation of the career courses it was revealed that some system changes should be made due to implemented or planned changes within the legislative and source framework of the Ministry of Defence. This article describes the implementation process of a new policy for training personnel in the career courses. It was prepared by a project team headed by the Centre for Security and Military Strategic Studies at the Defence University. Furthermore, the article deals with the clarification of the approach to the development of educational documentation and the chosen form of organization and conduction of military career courses. Also, a quality control system and a collection of information needed for upgrading of the senior officers career education curricula are described. |
Space Policy through the Prism of the Concept of Strategic CultureReviewed - ReviewMgr. Jakub Fučík, PhDr. Petr Suchý, Ph.D.Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 3/2014, Vol. XXIII. (LV.): 90-105 | DOI: 10.3849/1210-3292.23.2014.03.090-105 The article deals with the issue of creation and realization of space policy. Space programs of individual states are closely connected to decision-making processes of the (general) state (public) policy. Therefore we can raise a question which factors influence these processes and the formulation of space policy and also if they are so unique that could be related only to one particular state. The aim of this article is to focus on one of the factors influencing space policy-strategic culture. Its influence is analysed through case studies of seven nations. Each case study is divided into two parts. First, we identify relevant characteristics of the state's strategic culture. Then, we analyse whether and how the identified characteristics of the respective strategic culture influence the space policy of a state in question. This article seeks to contribute to the growing debate about space as "the next" strategic area and highlights rather overlooked reasons of space exploration. |
Russia's New Generation Warfare and LatviaNonreviewed - OtherVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 3/2014, Vol. XXIII. (LV.): 112-122 Russia's actions in the Ukraine have changed the security situation in the Baltic region, which makes NATO's long-term presence in Latvia essential for the Latvian Republic. The impacts of Russian actions on Latvian defence policy are discussed in the paper by Mr Janis Berzinš,Managing Director of the Centre for Security and Defence Research, National Defence Academy of Latvia, in Policy Paper, No. 2, 2014. It is a new way of intervention, new-generation warfare, without the employment of armed combats, using mostly influence and coercion, by means of covert operations. Abridged and adapted. The original English text is available at http://www.naa.mil.lv/~/media/NAA/AZPC/Publikacijas/PP%2002-2014.ashx. Even though the study came into being in April 2014, the editors regard it worthy to be published, being timeless and with general validity. |
The Draft Proposal for Army Accoutrements RegulationReviewed - Reviewkpt. Ing. Michal Zelenák, doc. Ing. Miroslav Pecina CSc.Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 3/2014, Vol. XXIII. (LV.): 137-145 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.23.2014.03.137-145 The article introduces a variant of alternative accoutrements provided to the soldiers of the Army of the Czech Republic to replenish and compensate individual standardized items. The article proposes changes in furnishing soldiers, so that they would take into account their individual occupational specialities and predominant types of used military uniforms. Even though the authors use a simplified model in this paper, the final version of accoutrement modification represents the updating of the current law regulations. |
The Devil's Captain: Veteran-Patriot Jan PondyNonreviewed - OtherVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 3/2014, Vol. XXIII. (LV.): 177-179 Lieutenant-colonel Pondy was one of many pre-war army officers who joined the anti-Nazi resistance movement. The Germans announced the price on his head. To avoid the arrest, he preferred to flee across the border. He served in France, Great Britain, and the USSR. As a commander of the 3rd independent brigade he took part in fights in Slovakia and Moravia. After the war he became, among others, the commander of school for reserve officers. After communist coup d'etat in February 1948 he was dismissed from the army and degraded. Again, the arrest was imminent, so he emigrated to Great Britain. He was awarded dozens of Czechoslovak and foreign decorations and medals. In 2014 the Czech Minister of Defence presented him another high award, the State Defence Cross, in memoriam. |
NATO Structural Reforms in Practical TermsReviewed - ReviewIng. Josef Procházka, Ph.D.Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 2/2014, Vol. XXIII. (LV.): 8-21 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.23.2014.02.008-021 NATO has been permanently adapting to new outside and inside challenges. Lisbon summit in 2010 is one of the very important milestones in this transformation endeavour. Since 2010, the Alliance has embarked on meaningful structural reforms with the aim to enhance effectiveness, improve efficiency of all NATO entities and make the Alliance fit for its purpose. The main objective of this article is to introduce the scope of NATO reforms and their expected outcomes. Furthermore, this article will assess real achievements and draw at least some lessons from a reform implementation process in order to establish best practice in reforming complex organisations. |
Armed Conflict and Relations of its Economic AnalysisReviewed - ReviewIng. Aleš Olejníček, Ph.D.Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 2/2014, Vol. XXIII. (LV.): 22-40 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.23.2014.02.022-040 The topic of this essay is an insight into the interrelations of the economic analysis of armed conflict. The author tries to explain its substance and importance and at the same time he warns against the difficulties with its implementation. Backed by several studies, we must conclude that there is a lot of confusion in terminology we use. It is therefore proposed to apply cost-benefit analysis, so that we could create a unified terminology and simultaneously to use this analysis to present armed conflict economy in terms of overall expenses vs. likely benefits aroused by respective armed warfare. |
Operation Sangaris 2013: French intervention in Central AfricaReviewed - ReviewDoc. PhDr. Jan Eichler, CSc.Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 2/2014, Vol. XXIII. (LV.): 41-52 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.23.2014.02.041-052 The acts of violence have swept the whole Central African Republic (CAR) since March last year. When the Muslim fighters of Seleka rebel groups had deposed a Christian president Francois Bozize, the fighting between Christian militias and Muslim population broke out. The provisional government of the Muslim Michel Djotodia allegedly intentionally massacred civilians, including women, children and old people. In December 2013, under the resolution by the Security Council, UN, the French troops of 1600 men were sent to help to African Union soldiers to keep growing chaos at bay. But up to now, the violence has not been stopped. Nearly a million of people have been internally displaced in the country. A total of 935 thousand of Central Africans are currently sheltering in scrublands or living with their relatives. More than half of the city's population fled Bangui, some 60 per cent of those displaced are children, according to the UN refugee agency, UNHCR. |
Security Dimension of Israeli Maritime BordersReviewed - ReviewPlukovník gšt. Mgr. Ing. Libor Kutěj, Ph.D.Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 2/2014, Vol. XXIII. (LV.): 53-64 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.23.2014.02.053-064 Příspěvek se zabývá vybranými bezpečnostními aspekty námořních hraničních linií Státu Izrael. V krátkosti vymezuje současnou organizaci izraelského válečného námořnictva a jeho vybavení pro zabezpečování izraelské svrchovanosti proti hrozbám přicházejícím z moře, včetně zadržovacích operací vedoucích k zabránění šíření zbraní do rukou protiizraelských teroristických organizací. V souvislosti s izraelskou námořní blokádou pásma Gazy je komentována legitimita takového kroku a mezinárodněpolitické konsekvence jejího vynucování. Ekonomické souvislosti přetrvávajících problémů stran izraelské námořní hranice jsou evidentní na příkladu sporu o právo k využití podmořských nalezišť plynu. |
Operational Approach Development: Application of Operational Art Theory in Practice - 2nd partReviewed - ReviewIng. Ján Spišák, Ph.D.Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 2/2014, Vol. XXIII. (LV.): 65-75 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.23.2014.02.065-075 The article deals with some aspects of applied theory of operational art within the operations planning process. It discusses the area of operational design concepts and suggests possible ways of this theory application in the process of operational approach development. The described theory is a sequel to the article published in this Military Review No. 1/2014. |
Common European Armed Forces: Reality, or Utopia?Reviewed - ReviewPlukovník gšt. Ing. Zdeněk PetrášVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 2/2014, Vol. XXIII. (LV.): 101-108 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.23.2014.02.101-108 The consequences of economic recession and their impact on national defence budgets can indeed heavily hamper the credibility of both NATO and the EU. A need for coping with budget restrictions and ongoing security crisis in the Ukraine re-opens the issue of common European armed forces as an effective tool for keeping security stability not only in Europe, but also around the world. However, the key issue is to what extent it is feasible to develop autonomous European armed forces operating independently of transatlantic allies, while there is a very strong NATO-EU interconnection in the area of military capability development. |
Perspectives of Development of Light Combat UnitsNonreviewed - ReviewNadporučík Ing. Pavel ZahradníčekVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 2/2014, Vol. XXIII. (LV.): 109-116 The article identifies specific attributes which have influenced success of modern warfare conducted by infantry battalions and their sub-units. There are mentioned ways to suppress the negatives and opportunities to use positives. There is drafted a possible task organization structure of battalion which allows the variability, modularity and combat readiness, according to capabilities and statements catalogue. The author was inspired by his own experiences as an infantry unit commander. He uses his knowledge gained from military assignments. The article could be considered as topic for future discussions not only on academic but also on specialized level. |
Development of Personnel of the Ministry of Defence in Career CoursesNonreviewed - OtherIng. Vojtěch Němeček, Ph.D., Ing. Jaroslav Kolkus, Ing. František MičánekVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 2/2014, Vol. XXIII. (LV.): 117-127 Career education of the Ministry of Defence (MoD) personnel is a key component to meet requirements for qualifications. As these requirements are career growth conditions for career personnel, they are inherently connected with further promotion in rank. The MoD Concept of Personnel Development for 2012-2018 sets the direction of the educational development to achieve these qualification requirements. During the process of preparation of the career courses it was revealed that some system changes should be made due to implemented or planned changes within the legislative and source framework of the Ministry of Defence.This article describes the proposal of a new concept for training of personnel in the career courses. It was prepared by a project team headed by the Centre for Security and Military Strategic Studies at the Defence University. The article also shows the development of the situation since 2004, when the professionalization of the Armed Forces of the Czech Republic occurred. |
Water Potential for Conflicts and Confusion of Global HydropoliticsReviewed - ReviewProf. Ing. Josef Říha, DrSc.Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 2/2014, Vol. XXIII. (LV.): 128-140 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.23.2014.02.128-140 This paper addresses a gap in the literature relating to the effects and implications of water scarcity and the potential for water wars. The theme has evident military consequences. Experts provide rather pessimistic forecasts about the situation with freshwater on the planet. The early warning models seem to be quite useful as well as early warning conflict indicators. The author deals with the problem from the level of the Czech Republic. |

