Vojenské Rozhledy

Czech Military Review

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Results 91 to 120 of 1326:

Commanders´ Development for Strategic Level Defence Management

Reviewed - Review

Milan Marek, Josef Procházka, Janka Kosecová

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 2/2019, Vol. XXVIII. (LX.): 20-37 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.28.2019.02.020-037

The article offers for expert discussion research outcomes assessing commanders´ development in the area of leadership for assignments in defense organization. It also evaluates the level of utilization of gained competencies while managing these organizations. Research was conducted from 2017 to 2019 and embraced predominantly surveys among participants of career courses provided by the Centre for Security and Military Strategic Studies of Defense University in the life-long education program. Research outcomes proved limited level of understanding and implementation of leadership theoretical framework in daily business. Additionally, it shows that the implementation of verified leadership processes and principles by middle- and higher-military management fluctuates about the average level. Furthermore, it figured out an insufficient application of all available instruments for people motivation and support including the approach "leading by example". Finally, it outlined several recommendations for the reinforcement of military personal preparation in the area of leadership for the successful conduct of middle- and higher-managerial position in military organizations. The first and at the same time the most significant step is the recommendation for implementing leadership areas into the Ministry of Defense conceptual documents in the form of vision, strategy and systemic measures.

Operation Decisive Storm

Nonreviewed - Other

Mgr. Lucie Pospěchová

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 4/2015, Vol. XXIV. (LVI.): 79-85

The paper concerns the crisis in Yemen which escalated once again in the beginning of 2015 and considers legality of Operation Decisive Storm launched in March 2015 by military coalition led by Saudi Arabia.

Armed Conflict and Relations of its Economic Analysis

Reviewed - Review

Ing. Aleš Olejníček, Ph.D.

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 2/2014, Vol. XXIII. (LV.): 22-40 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.23.2014.02.022-040

The topic of this essay is an insight into the interrelations of the economic analysis of armed conflict. The author tries to explain its substance and importance and at the same time he warns against the difficulties with its implementation. Backed by several studies, we must conclude that there is a lot of confusion in terminology we use. It is therefore proposed to apply cost-benefit analysis, so that we could create a unified terminology and simultaneously to use this analysis to present armed conflict economy in terms of overall expenses vs. likely benefits aroused by respective armed warfare.

The Process of Accession to NATO and Its Influence on Shaping the Czech Republic Security System

Reviewed - Review

PhDr. Zdeněk Borkovec

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 1/2014, Vol. XXIII. (LV.): 8-21 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.23.2014.01.008-021

The accession of the Czech Republic to NATO is reflected in the Czech security system, especially in the political, institutional, organizational and legislative areas. The article describes the ways to achieve the NATO key requirements: political, institutional, legislative, defence, resources, as well as information security and public support. In order to become fully capable to consume benefits of NATO membership and fulfil its obligations, appropriate legislative changes must be adopted. Four North Atlantic Treaty Organization pillars had to be integrated: Washington Treaty, defence planning, information security, mutual solidarity.

Auftragstaktik: the Origin and Development of the Philosophy to the Command in the 21st Century

Reviewed - Review

Pavel Kolář, Tomáš Rak

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 1/2018, Vol. XXVII. (LIX.): 69-83 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.27.2018.01.69-84

This article deals with one of the approaches to command - Mission Command - which can be seen as a dominant command philosophy in NATO nations and especially in the United States. This approach is considered as a very important in terms of possible responses to the challenges having impact on current and future security environment. Respective parts of this article describe the military causes and related historical consequences based on which the mentioned command philosophy had been constructed. The relevant parts describe basic principles of Auftragstaktik, developed and implemented by Prussian and later on by German military leaders which aim is to emphasize centralized intent and dispersed execution through disciplined initiative.

Optimization of Lessons Learned Process and the Importance of Personnel Development in this Domain

Reviewed - Review

Janka Kosecová, Richard Saibert

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 2/2018, Vol. XXVII. (LIX.): 33-52 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.27.2018.02.33-52

The authors present the results of the research on the Lessons Learned process applied within the Ministry of Defence of the Czech Republic. The main purpose of the article is to introduce the proposal of the process optimization to readers. The paper describes the process in detail, and this description is used to identify procedural shortcomings exploiting the process analysis method in terms of factual and logical accuracy of the process. The following part of the article presents the results of the comparative analysis of the chosen Lessons Learned processes. The result of the comparative analysis allows authors to make in an innovative way suitable recommendations for optimizing the current state of the whole process of Lessons Learned. Based on the analysis of the educational programs, the paper proposes to include the subject of the Lessons Learned process into the learning outcomes, especially from the perspective of competency based approach to education.

Comparison of Approaches Towards Electronic Warfare

Reviewed - Review

Petr Hlavizna

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 4/2018, Vol. XXVII. (LIX.): 78-104 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.27.2018.04.078-104

The article examines the different approaches of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization and the United States Armed Forces towards Electronic Warfare, the military activity in the Electromagnetic Environment. All reference materials used for this analysis, including the specifics of the Army of the Czech Republic's approach toward the subject area, were obtained from unclassified military sources. It describes, explains and visualizes the individual approaches, and by their comparison it identifies and subsequently emphasizes cases of divergence, including non-compliance in established Czech terms, definitions and abbreviations. It highlights the obsolescence of the still valid military publication Electronic Warfare in the Army of the Czech Republic, the use of which, in its current form, has already been deemed as unfounded and counterproductive. It presents proposals and recommendations for unification of approach towards the Electronic Warfare issues within the Army of the Czech Republic, in order to ensure consistency with the current North Atlantic Treaty Organization policy related to activities in the Electromagnetic Environment. It contributes to better understanding of doctrinal views on the role of Electronic Warfare in execution of combat support tasks in contemporary military operations, thus creating preconditions for elimination of associated misunderstandings in terms of the Army of the Czech Republic.

Retraining of soldiers

Reviewed - Research

Kristýna Binková

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 4/2018, Vol. XXVII. (LIX.): 105-119 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.27.2018.04.105-119

The retraining courses of the Ministry of Defence aim to prepare soldiers for the civilian environment and to enable them to acquire the knowledge and skills that are applicable in the labour market. In the years 2008-2017 11 605 soldiers of the Czech Armed Forces terminated their service. The application for retraining was submitted by 3 644 persons, of whom 2 769 were retrained. The prevalence of retraining is in technical professions (1 342 persons) and in managerial and business training (832 persons). The research question and the statistical evaluation of the data obtained confirms the hypothesis that most soldiers were not retrained. The results of sociological research carried out among 313 former soldiers of the Czech Armed Forces show that more than three fifths of soldiers did not apply for retraining (64%), especially among higher positions and college graduates, because of no information about the data of termination of service (25%), no need for retraining (20 %) and not completing the retraining course (30 %) mostly because of the refusal of the superiors. The shortcomings of the retraining system of professional soldiers are summarized.

Ministry Officials of the Czech Republic and the Use of Social Scientific Knowledge

Nonreviewed - Other

Prof. PhDr. František Ochrana, DrSc., Prof. PhDr. Arnošt Veselý, Ph.D., Mgr. Martin Nekola, Ph.D., Mgr. Blanka Tollarová, Ph.D.

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 2/2018, Vol. XXVII. (LIX.): 109-124

The paper deals with the ministerial officials of the Czech Republic. Using large-N survey on the Czech ministerial officials and in-depth interviews with them, we are exploring the role of social scientific knowledge, which use ministry officials. Based on results of the empirical research are drawn comparative conclusions concerning the ministry of defence and other ministries.

Three Key Issues of Project Management in the Ministry of Defense Sector

Reviewed - Review

Jaromír Pitaš, Miroslav Mašlej

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 3/2018, Vol. XXVII. (LIX.): 129-140 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.27.2018.03.129-140

Implementation of project management is a step by which the organization declares that it wants to offer unique products in the appropriate quality. Just as a newly implemented process to an organization is not always perfect and needs to be constantly improved. Consequently, the project management implemented in the organization needs to be improved. The article presents the main problems identified by the members of the project management courses, which took place at the University of Defense in Brno in period 2011 - 2018. The authors of the article, based on the analysis of the findings, concluded that problems identified in the Ministry of Defence of the Czech Republic are solvable and present possible approaches to the solution.

Information Support of Human Resources Management in Sector of Defense

Reviewed - Review

Zdeněk Bednář

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 1/2018, Vol. XXVII. (LIX.): 45-67 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.27.2018.01.45-68

The article deals with the Information Support of Human Resources Management of the Ministry of Defense in terms of providing information on the quantity and quality of the personnel of the department for decision making processes. The first part describes the tools and methods of analysis for processing this information. The second part provides practical examples of this information support. On the basis of analytical studies the status of staff is presented in 2015 and 2016, supplemented by comments from the author, indicating possible ways of presenting and using this information in Human Resource Management. The author of the article, which presents the results of the long-standing experience of the creator of the information management support system, concludes that the data generated by this system could lead the adoption of a number of fundamental strategic decisions.

Experiment in the Military Domain

Reviewed - Review

Jan Hodický

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 2/2018, Vol. XXVII. (LIX.): 19-31 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.27.2018.02.19-32

The article deals with the experimentation in the military domain. It is anchored by the experiment explanation in the NATO context paying special attention to the capability development. Basic principles and terminology of design, execution and analysis is discussed in the following part employing 5W approach. The main focus is aimed at the experiments' examples from the NATO and Nations environment. The article is closed by the explanation of the role of the experiment in the decision making process under the uncertainty in the complex environment.

Space Policy through the Prism of the Concept of Strategic Culture

Reviewed - Review

Mgr. Jakub Fučík, PhDr. Petr Suchý, Ph.D.

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 3/2014, Vol. XXIII. (LV.): 90-105 | DOI: 10.3849/1210-3292.23.2014.03.090-105

The article deals with the issue of creation and realization of space policy. Space programs of individual states are closely connected to decision-making processes of the (general) state (public) policy. Therefore we can raise a question which factors influence these processes and the formulation of space policy and also if they are so unique that could be related only to one particular state. The aim of this article is to focus on one of the factors influencing space policy-strategic culture. Its influence is analysed through case studies of seven nations. Each case study is divided into two parts. First, we identify relevant characteristics of the state's strategic culture. Then, we analyse whether and how the identified characteristics of the respective strategic culture influence the space policy of a state in question. This article seeks to contribute to the growing debate about space as "the next" strategic area and highlights rather overlooked reasons of space exploration.

Russia's New Generation Warfare and Latvia

Nonreviewed - Other

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 3/2014, Vol. XXIII. (LV.): 112-122

Russia's actions in the Ukraine have changed the security situation in the Baltic region, which makes NATO's long-term presence in Latvia essential for the Latvian Republic. The impacts of Russian actions on Latvian defence policy are discussed in the paper by Mr Janis Berzinš,Managing Director of the Centre for Security and Defence Research, National Defence Academy of Latvia, in Policy Paper, No. 2, 2014. It is a new way of intervention, new-generation warfare, without the employment of armed combats, using mostly influence and coercion, by means of covert operations. Abridged and adapted. The original English text is available at http://www.naa.mil.lv/~/media/NAA/AZPC/Publikacijas/PP%2002-2014.ashx. Even though the study came into being in April 2014, the editors regard it worthy to be published, being timeless and with general validity.

Horizon 2030: The Risk-Laden Future of Global Security

Reviewed - Review

PhDr. Miloš Balabán, Ph.D.

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 2/2013, Vol. XXII. (LIV.): 69-87 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.22.2013.02.069-087

The article analyzes several key conclusions of US National Intelligence Council's study "Global Trends 2030: Alternative Worlds", published in December 2012. Primarily it focuses on: the diffusion of global power influencing political, economic and security development on both global and regional scales; rising importance of the Asia-Pacific region for global economy and security; Sino-American security relations; the role that the United States and Europe should be played in the changing geopolitical reality. The conclusions offer the author's own interpretation of certain development trajectories, based on his earlier published monographs, studies and articles.

The Change In Global Strategic Balance: Current Status and Trends in Military Power of Selected Countries

Reviewed - Review

Ing. Vladimír Šilhan, CSc., MSc.

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 1/2013, Vol. XXII. (LIV.): 6-28 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.22.2013.01.006-028

The aim of this article is to provide comparison of the main indicators of military power among the individual EU countries, between the EU in total and the U.S., and the comparison of the world's biggest military powers. Current evolvement of changes in military power indicates the shift of the centre of gravity aiming prevailingly eastward towards raising and growing economical powers. Due to the differences of various input data, multiple information sources used for comparison are significantly different. In addition, it is difficult to get them for some isolated countries, the results of which are sometimes only estimated. The study also includes information on the main importers and exporters of the military equipment, as well as the estimation of future trends.

Strategic Culture: Concept Presentation

Reviewed - Review

Ing. Tomáš Pospíšil

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 2/2012, Vol. XXI. (LIII.): 26-33

Studies of the importance of culture have gained greater attention in the post-Cold War era. In present world, there are many fenomena that can't be explained in terms of neorealism. There is the consensus in national security policy studies that culture may significantly affect grand strategy and state behaviour. It limits behavioural choices, from which we could derive predictions about our strategic choice. This study is based among others upon Johnston's strategic culture concept related to three generations. The study is divided into five parts: at first the author introduces general concept of strategic culture, the second, third and fourth parts correspond to individual generations. In closing part the author explains his own understanding to this concept.

Development and Change of the Concept of Hybrid War

Reviewed - Review

Richard Stojar

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 2/2017, Vol. XXVI. (LVIII.): 44-55 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.26.2017.02.044-055

The aim of the paper is description and analysis of the transformation of the concept of hybrid war. The Russian intervention in Ukraine in 2014 meant principal re-definition of the concept which is reflected in the contemporary views on the hybrid wars and hybrid threats. The concept of hybrid war had been questioned in the past already as his validity and the efforts to be applied on the past conflicts deformed its innovative content. One could argue, that adding new dimensions and topic such as economic factors, ideological activity etc. brings risk of concept´s expansion which goes far behind of the framework of the phenomenon of the war and the use of armed forces in the armed conflicts. The author draws attention to the fact that the definition of hybrid war tends to be subordinate to the current needs, which in turn only hinders their explanation potential.

The Consequences of the Bundeswehr Mission in Afghanistan for German Military Engagement Abroad

Reviewed - Review

PhDr. Pavel Dvořák

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 1/2016, Vol. XXV. (LVII.): 24-43 | DOI: 10.3849/1210-3292.25.2016.01.024-043

This article focuses on answering the question to what extent did the German foreign and security policy change, based on the ISAF mission in Afghanistan, especially when it comes to military deployment abroad. The author identifies and analyses the consequences associated with the German experience in Afghanistan and their influence on the current and future deployment of German armed forces abroad. The attention is given to the German strategic culture of "civilian power" and the question, if Germany still fulfills the attributes connected with this theoretical concept. The author verifies this assumption by means of the role theory concept, which helps to understand the behavior of Germany on the international level.

Institutionalisation of the Analytical Support Function to Ensure Credibility of Defence Management - Canada, Norway, Sweden and NATO Case Study

Reviewed - Review

Josef Procházka

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. MC/2017, Vol. XXVI. (LVIII.): 3-22 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.26.2017.05.003-022

The paper outlines several recommendations for strengthening the institutional framework of the analytical support function for credible defence management. Recommendations are drawn based on the outcome of the institutional research project named Strategic Alternatives conducted by the Centre for Security and Military Strategic Studies of University of Defence (CSMSS). The multi-objective research focuses on organisational arrangement of the analytical support function within the overall ministry of defence organisational architecture of several countries (Canada, Norway, Sweden) as well as the NATO structure and management (in this case, the main focus embraces the analytical support to defence planning). Analytical support to defence decision making process in these countries enjoys a long-term tradition which goes back to the period of WWII. The way the analytical function is understood is highly relevant also for the enhancement of credible defence management in the Czech Republic and its Ministry of Defence.

Methodological Framework for Operational Risk Assessment

Reviewed - Review

Josef Procházka, Josef Melichar

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 4/2017, Vol. XXVI. (LVIII.): 19-33 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.26.2017.04.019-034

The article brings a "Condition-If-Then" construct as a proven protocol for writing risk statement and its application into assessing risks related to capability gaps identified during the defense planning processAuthors discuss utility of "Common approach" and "Impact averse approach" to risk rank ordering as a tool for ordering risks according to their importance. Using the discussed tools enables the planners to run risk assessment that sets preconditions for prioritizing the Force Development Options (FDOs) and for minimizing the impact of capability gaps on conduct of future operations. The ORAMF and the application of the given protocol for writing risks are some of the building blocks of the defense planning process, offering a toolset for reinforcement of the defense planning of the Czech Republic.

Analysis of NATO and EU Approaches to Capability Planning Process

Reviewed - Review

Ing. Zdeněk Petráš, Ph.D.

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 1/2017, Vol. XXVI. (LVIII.): 3-21 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.26.2017.01.003-021

The aim of the article is to bring out results of the comparative analysis of NATO and EU defence planning processes. The comparative analysis was focused on identification of those findings which are identical for both NATO and the EU and which might be also beneficial for optimising the national defence planning process within the Czech Ministry of Defence. From this perspective, the key analysis outcome is identification of similar phases which were found out while comparing respective NATO´s and EU´s planning tools, i.e. J-DARTS and SAEP Process. Even if NATO and the EU are using a different terminology and different approaches to achieve expected results, the substance of respective phases is almost identical. A course of action how to implement the analysis outcomes into the national defence planning process might be the subject of a follow on research.

Practical Questions and Answers to Problems of Conducting Operations in a Contaminated Environment

Nonreviewed - Other

Radim Zahradníček

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 4/2017, Vol. XXVI. (LVIII.): 79-97

When planning and conducting tactical exercises of units and formations, it is often the case that aspects of long-term operations in a chemical, biological or radiological contaminated environments have disappeared from consideration of commanders and staff officers. The reluktance to "complicate the situation" in training may have different causes, but the continuing importance of CBRN defence is indisputable. The article discusses probable commander questions related to the effective management of subordinate units in a contaminated environments. Their answering can help to successfully fulfill defined combat tasks that have been disrupted by the use of enemy weapons of mass destruction, improvised devices containing highly toxic substances, or leakage of industrial hazardous substances into the environment.

Outplacement in the Defence Sector Environment

Reviewed - Review

Kristýna Binková, Zdeněk Bednář

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 1/2017, Vol. XXVI. (LVIII.): 22-39 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.26.2017.01.022-039

The article deals with ways to help soldiers with the integration into the labour market after leaving the military service. Its aim is to describe the current state of knowledge in conditions of the Czech defence department and methods of so called outplacement in selected European countries. Within the description of the current situation in the Czech Republic, the article focuses on the training of a professional soldier, retraining courses and other measures that are implemented. While processing the text, literature search, analysis of legislative and statistical documents and direct interviews with experts from the Ministry of Defence and other experts from foreign ministries and institutions of the defence department were applied. The article provides a summary of the pros and cons of preparation of soldier for a career in the civilian sector in the Czech Republic, and submits suggestions for improving the current situation.

Energy as a Strategic Tool of Hezbollah Movement in Confrontation with Israel

Reviewed - Review

Lukáš Tichý

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 3/2017, Vol. XXVI. (LVIII.): 14-30 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.26.2017.03.014-030

The article focuses on confronting the Lebanon's Shiite movement Hezbollah with Israel in the field of energy. The aim of the article is to analyse the importance of energy in strategy of movement Hezbollah generally and specifically in confronting with Israel and motives and methods of the energy strategy of the Hezbollah. The primary method of Hezbollah action is to use or threat of violence consisting in threatening to attack on the Israeli energy sector to defend Lebanese energy wealth and deter its enemy from production of gas and oil in the disputed waters of the eastern Mediterranean. The main motive of Hezbollah's activities is especially strengthening of stable energy supplies and Israel's accusations of aggressive energy policy towards Lebanon.

Russian Involvement in the Conflict in Eastern Ukraine Over the Period April 2014 - February 2015 (part 2)

Reviewed - Review

Tomáš HALAČKA

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 1/2017, Vol. XXVI. (LVIII.): 64-74 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.26.2017.01.064-074

In the first part of the article was described terminology, main features and phases of Russian engagement in the conflict. It was pronounced that Russian engagement in the conflict is possible to designate it as military operation. The second article deals with other aspects of the conflict focused on indication of the Russian forces in operation, its unmasking signs and available operational experiences. The ending of the article deals with future possibilities of Russian engagement in region of the post-soviet states and political-military aspects of Russian foreign policy in extensive connection.

Scenarios, Development, Internal Structure Scenarios and Security Threats

Reviewed - Review

Josef Melichar

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 2/2017, Vol. XXVI. (LVIII.): 18-32 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.26.2017.02.018-032

The article deals with the topic of scenarios in relation to their significance, internal structure development and the way of elaborating scenarios following links to security threats and mission types. Article describes possible way of structuring set of scenarios reflecting security threats stated in The Security strategy of the Czech Republic and corresponding mission types. Main methodology exploited during the work with the topic of scenarios was document analysis, which resulted in finding, that scenarios don't enjoy appropriate attention in the defence resort of the Czech Republic, scenarios are not elaborated and thus not exploited. The article deals in the conclusion with propositions aiming at elaborating scenarios with purposefull internal structure, elaborating security threats and reflecting mission types.

The State Material Reserves Administration in the Mirror of the Security Research

Nonreviewed - Research

Ing. Mgr. Stanislav Kulhánek, prof. PhDr. František Ochrana, DrSc.

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 4/2013, Vol. XXII. (LIV.): 173-192

The control of emergency economic measures, namely state material reserves, is an important part of Czech security system. From the institutional point of view, all is run under the authority of a central institution-the Administration of State Material Reserves (ASMR). This paper deals with its role in the management of state material reserves, reflects problems and consequences resulting from the changes in security surrounding, re-evaluates opinions and views both by experts of state administrations and academic community. Those are the main key questions the study seeks an answer.

The Basics of Environmental Security in Military Operations

Reviewed - Review

Doc. Ing. Miroslav Cempírek, CSc., prof. Ing. Aleš Komár, CSc., Ing. Vladislav Vincenec, Ph.D.

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 1/2013, Vol. XXII. (LIV.): 89-99 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.22.2013.01.089-099

In course of action, modern forces ought to be capable to safe living surroundings by the implementation of environmental protection into military planning and decision-making process. Traditionally it protects not only a location around military bases, training areas, but also in all operational area of deployed armed forces. This study therefore deals with methods of environmental protection and the so-called risk management to prevent damages that can't be remediated, both in the field of natural, cultural or historic sights and relicts.

The Future of Czech Defence System

Reviewed - Review

PhDr. Antonín Rašek

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 1/2013, Vol. XXII. (LIV.): 113-130 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.22.2013.01.113-130

Methodically, presented study comes out of a book by Martin Potůček at al. Studying the Future as a Challenge. Its author offers a comprehensive characteristic of several fundamental challenges to social forecasting. It begins by defining forecasting as the formulation of conditional accounts of possible futures. The main forecasting theme to be solved are as follows: ageing Czech population as a security problem, corruption, criminality, organized crime as a tool of political and economy instability, the marginalization of Czech Armed Forces in context of globalization and overall European defence, possible threat of the collapse of Czech defence system.

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