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European Sectoral Qualifications Framework for Military Officer Profession from the Perspective of the Czech RepublicReviewed - ReviewRichard SaibertVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 3/2021, Vol. XXX. (LXII.): 59-74 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.30.2021.03.059-074 The article deals with the issue of application of the European Sectoral Qualifications Framework for Military Officer Profession. Paper brings the main results of levelling the Senior Officer Course to the European Core Curriculum for Military Officers (MILOF-CORE). It was found out that 18 out of 35 learning outcomes of the Senior Officer Course were found to considerable degree relevant to the MILOF-CORE, the rest contain a various degree of national specifics. Lessons learned gained from the levelling were employed in a recent revision of study programs of the career courses organized by the Center for Security and Military Strategic Studies of the University of Defence. |
Weapons of Mass Destruction and Chemical Corps in Light of Czech Military Periodicals of 1920-2020Reviewed - ReviewRadim ZahradníčekVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. MC/2020, Vol. XXIX. (LXI.): 75-85 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.29.2020.MC.075-085 Research into the historiography of the use of Weapons of Mass Destruction involves an excursion of the study of recent problems of Chemical Corps in the literature. Four basic periods were identified in the development of the theory of Chemical Corps and the concept of the use of Weapons of Mass Destruction. 1. The First World War and the foundation of Czechoslovakia as a period of changes in the principles of military leadership due to the existence of chemical weapons. 2. The period after the end of World War II, reflection on threats in the form of the development of Chemical Corps, the take-over of Soviet doctrine and military research objectives. 3. 1990s as a period characterized by an accent on the Gulf War, proliferation of Weapons of Mass Destruction and the introduction of new technical means of Chemical Corps. 4. Beginning of the 21st century and the threat of ultra-terrorism, the development of specialized capabilities of Chemical, Biological, Radiological, and Nuclear Defence, birth of the 9th Chemical Protection Company of immediate response and literary dominance of international security issues, which outweigh force protection problems in operations. The researched articles illustrate the originality of scientific thinking and the social contribution of scientific literature to the defense sector. |
Physical Training Information System of the Armed Forces of the Czech RepublicNonreviewed - OtherPetr Hanák, Jiří Sekanina, Tomáš RáčilVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 4/2020, Vol. XXIX. (LXI.): 94-104 The article addresses the current state of registration and evaluation of physical training of soldiers of the Army of the Czech Republic. It includes analytical and design part. The analytical part discusses the pros and cons of current evidence of physical training data and identifies the main shortcomings and problems. The article proposes the optimization of the current state through an advanced information system that would cover the current needs of physical education workers and for this purpose is currently created in the environment of the University of Defense in Brno. The article outlines the possible practical use of the information system in military practice. |
Retraining of soldiersReviewed - ResearchKristýna BinkováVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 4/2018, Vol. XXVII. (LIX.): 105-119 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.27.2018.04.105-119 The retraining courses of the Ministry of Defence aim to prepare soldiers for the civilian environment and to enable them to acquire the knowledge and skills that are applicable in the labour market. In the years 2008-2017 11 605 soldiers of the Czech Armed Forces terminated their service. The application for retraining was submitted by 3 644 persons, of whom 2 769 were retrained. The prevalence of retraining is in technical professions (1 342 persons) and in managerial and business training (832 persons). The research question and the statistical evaluation of the data obtained confirms the hypothesis that most soldiers were not retrained. The results of sociological research carried out among 313 former soldiers of the Czech Armed Forces show that more than three fifths of soldiers did not apply for retraining (64%), especially among higher positions and college graduates, because of no information about the data of termination of service (25%), no need for retraining (20 %) and not completing the retraining course (30 %) mostly because of the refusal of the superiors. The shortcomings of the retraining system of professional soldiers are summarized. |
Optimization of Lessons Learned Process and the Importance of Personnel Development in this DomainReviewed - ReviewJanka Kosecová, Richard SaibertVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 2/2018, Vol. XXVII. (LIX.): 33-52 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.27.2018.02.33-52 The authors present the results of the research on the Lessons Learned process applied within the Ministry of Defence of the Czech Republic. The main purpose of the article is to introduce the proposal of the process optimization to readers. The paper describes the process in detail, and this description is used to identify procedural shortcomings exploiting the process analysis method in terms of factual and logical accuracy of the process. The following part of the article presents the results of the comparative analysis of the chosen Lessons Learned processes. The result of the comparative analysis allows authors to make in an innovative way suitable recommendations for optimizing the current state of the whole process of Lessons Learned. Based on the analysis of the educational programs, the paper proposes to include the subject of the Lessons Learned process into the learning outcomes, especially from the perspective of competency based approach to education. |
President as the Commander-in-ChiefInformational pagesDoc. JUDr. Zdeněk Koudelka, Ph.D.Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 1/2012, Vol. XXI. (LIII.): 122-131 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.21.2012.01.122-131 This paper depicts the position of the Czech President as the head of state and the commander-in-chief of the Czech Armed Forces, including his special relation to Defence Minister who actually runs defence department. The President is superior to all members of armed forces of the Czech Republic; the Chief of General Staff is superior to all members of the Army of the Czech Republic.The President formally and officially controls all the military organizations in a country. But we have no tradition of independent of armed deployment in war conflicts. Our forces operated always as a part of higher multinational coalitions, in joined combined groupings, operationally subordinated to friendly, but alien highest command. |
The Implementation of Defence/Military Policy in the Czech Republic: Little Stability of Governance and Unsuitable Management ConceptOpinions, controversyPplk. Ing. Bohuslav Pernica, Ph.D., pplk. Mgr. Pavel BalvínVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 1/2010, Vol. XIX. (LI.): 101-113 The article deals with persistent problems of Czech military policy within 1993-2009, its achievements and failures. A new managerial concept, system planning, programming and budgeting, which superseded a communist central control, was not implemented fully because of governance instability. The office of Defence Minister was held by 11 persons within 1993-2009 (Czech Republic). Among others, it aroused the return of a concept of central planning in 2004, which was not successful, because it was not supported by institutions outside the MoD. The authors propose more transparency in military matters and better cooperation with academic community to prevent the repetition of concepts supporting short-term goals instead of long-term visions. |
Defence Research and Development in 1989-2009ReviewedDoc. Ing. Josef Janošec, CSc.Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 4/2009, Vol. XVIII. (L.): 71-86 After a short review of defence R&D history, the author concludes that our country used to reach world's level in some fields: passive warning systems, NBC protection, military surgery, explosives. After the change of political system in 1989 we began to dispose Czech military industries. The only scientific place to left is Defence University Brno, but it is an institution more or less concentrated on education. It is almost impossible to maintain pace with foreign defence industry. In the article there is an exhaustive list of military plants, institutions after 1989, together with the date of their closing down. It is followed by research orientation of defence industry, set according to time periods. The special chapter concentrates on financing defence research, the closing part deals with the period of our membership in NATO. Although there are same positive aspects, such as international cooperation, exploiting sources from abroad, strategical control declined. We see unwise reductions in personnel, abolishing accredited institutions, etc. |
Construction of Temporary Bridges after Floods in SloveniaNonreviewed - OtherMartin Benda, Jan SobotkaVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 2/2024, Vol. XXXIII. (LXV.): 167-182 The paper deals with the process of constructing temporary bridges after the devastating floods that hit Slovenia at the beginning of August. The Czech Republic has decided to donate three TMS (heavy bridge set) bridges to the Republic of Slovenia as part of humanitarian aid. The article describes the process from the dispatch of a reconnaissance team, through the evaluation of the reconnaissance, to the construction itself. The paper is based on the experiences and observations of the author, who took part in all the processes as a direct participant. |
Cognitive Warfare as a New Dimension of Security. A Fictional Concept or a Real Silent Threat?Reviewed - ReviewKristýna Drmotová, Libor KutějVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 1/2024, Vol. XXXIII. (LXV.): 63-83 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.33.2024.01.063-083 Cognitive warfare is a new phenomenon that differs from any forms of action previously used in the information space aiming to affect the thinking of target groups. The main difference consists in the targeted and sophisticated use of scientific knowledge from neuroscience, with special attention on consciousness and perception of reality. This deeper understanding of how the human mind works has impacted distributed narratives and the choice of the most suitable technological platforms for their distribution to the target audience. This article presents a conceptual classification of cognitive warfare and defines its three core segments: neuroscience, technology and aspects of social science. |
A War Gaming in the Context of a Computer Simulation of CombatReviewed - ResearchJiří Černý, Vladimír Vráb, Jan ZezulaVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 3/2023, Vol. XXXII. (LXIV.): 82-95 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.32.2023.03.082-095 The war game is a respected tool for commanders' decision-making. Its preparation, execution, and evaluation of results require precise organization and a considerable time commitment. However, the time aspect is a limiting factor in the current dynamic era to a rather objectified evaluation of the variants of operation execution. The article does not describe the process of wargame preparation, it focuses on the execution phase, where it presents the use of a particular simulation system in wargames and under which theoretical conditions the results of combat simulation can be considered valid. It also evaluates the time efficiency of its use in a wargame. It has been experimentally verified that the tested simulation system can be used for a wargame especially in the accelerated simulation mode. The configuration of the computing system was also verified, which allowed a substantial acceleration of the simulation run of the wargame scenario. |
Humanitarian Transit Camp For Refugees. Construction and Operation Experiences.Nonreviewed - OtherVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 2/2023, Vol. XXXII. (LXIV.): 119-134 An article describes a humanitarian camp at Mokraď in Slovakia, built up by the Czech Army in cooperation with the Armed Forces of Slovak republic, as a reaction on refugee crises caused by the war in Ukraine. All phases of the development, preparation, movement and transportation, construction and operation are mentioned there, an internal structure, used technical means and involvement of personnel, lessons identified and recommendations included, leading to increase of efficiency of similar activities in the future. |
Deepfake as an Advanced Manipulative Technique for Spreading PropagandaReviewed - ReviewMartin HavlíkVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 1/2023, Vol. XXXII. (LXIV.): 3-16 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.32.2023.01.003-017 The article describes the basic foundations and significance of the manipulative technique called Deepfake, which in the environment of technological and informational expansion is also becoming a widely used tool for spreading propaganda. This advanced manipulation complements a wider spectrum of forms of disinformation and is increasingly being used as a means of conducting information operations, often as part of wider hybrid warfare. Effectively combating this kind of manipulation places high demands on consumers of information, both on the part of the detection tools used and on the part of the cognitive human approach based on critical thinking. The expansion and sophistication of similar manipulative techniques will continue, in connection with the development of modern technologies and the interconnectedness of the information environment. Although the Deepfake technique is not only associated with security-military aspects, its influence on information operations and hybrid warfare cannot be neglected. |
From the Common Security and Defence Policy to the Common Army of the European Union?Reviewed - ReviewVojtech Jurčák, Radoslav IvančíkVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 1/2023, Vol. XXXII. (LXIV.): 18-34 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.32.2023.01.018-034 Voices about the need to build a joint European Union army have been appearing on the European scene for several years, but recently these voices have become stronger, especially after the Russian invasion of Ukraine. Therefore, in the article, the authors deal with the issue of the possibility of creating a common European army. They draw on from socio-scientific political science approaches to current security frameworks, examine the current state, and at the same time point out that, despite the threats Europe is facing, there is still no clear plan for how such an army should be created. Considering the facts mentioned in the article, the authors state that the creation of a common European army, at least for now, seems unlikely, as a supranational model of the European army would require the transfer of sensitive national competences from the member states to the EU level. |
Vojtěch Němeček passed awayNonreviewed - OtherredakceVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 1/2023, Vol. XXXII. (LXIV.): 143 |
Innovative view of the methodical process of facing disinformationReviewed - ResearchMartin HavlíkVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 4/2022, Vol. XXXI. (LXIII.): 23-36 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.31.2022.04.023-036 The article describes an innovative view of a possible methodical process of access and protection against disinformation. The ever-increasing digitization and use of cyberspace to disseminate all kinds of data and information provides users with an indisputable number of associated benefits associated with rapid access, distribution or sharing of current knowledge. However, this development trend also reciprocally generates a number of related threats that need to be faced. Our own resilience and effective tools against information campaigns and information actions of all relevant actors play the key role here. The critical thinking itself and the process mechanisms used to access information are the focus of overall resilience to this type of security threats. Thus, the methodical process can help a wide range of readers broaden their view of the complexity of the problem and partially minimize the associated security risks. |
Leadership development in the conditions of the Czech Armed ForcesReviewed - ResearchMilan Marek, Aleš TesařVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 4/2022, Vol. XXXI. (LXIII.): 50-70 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.31.2022.04.050-070 The aim of this article is to define leadership as a process required in the Czech Armed Forces. To this end, the nature of military leadership is first identified by analyzing similarities and differences of the widely accepted theoretical concepts (schools) of leadership, including approaches used in selected alliance armed forces. Based on the current state of affairs analysis, the components of leadership and the relationship among them are identified, as well as general conditions for their application. In accordance with the knowledge gained, a general leadership model of the Army of the Czech Republic is proposed. |
Do Economic Determinants Affect the Size of Military Spending?Reviewed - ResearchLenka Brigzalová, Vojtěch Müllner, Jakub Odehnal, Jiří NeubauerVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 3/2022, Vol. XXXI. (LXIII.): 63-83 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.31.2022.03.063-083 The article aims to identify the dependence of military expenditures and selected economic determinants on the example of the V4 countries in the years 1999-2020. The following are selected as economic determinants: the size of the gross domestic product, the rate of inflation, the debt and deficit of the government sector and unemployment. Correlation analysis proved the expected relationship between the gross domestic product and the military expenditure of Hungary and especially Poland. The relationship between military spending and unemployment was confirmed for Poland, Hungary and Slovakia, the expected relationship between military spending and government debt for the Czech Republic. The linear regression model confirmed the positive effect of the gross domestic product on military expenditure in the case of Poland, the effect of the increase in military expenditure due to rising inflation in Hungary and the negative effect of increasing state indebtedness in the case of the Czech Republic. At the same time, the results did not confirm the uniformity of the factors affecting the size of the military factors in the analyzed V4 countries. |
Current Approaches of the Czech Republic, the EU and NATO to Hybrid ThreatsReviewed - ResearchMartin HavlíkVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 2/2022, Vol. XXXI. (LXIII.): 3-16 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.31.2022.02.003-016 The article discusses the current approach of the Czech Republic to the phenomenon of hybrid threats and analyses the fundamental shortcomings that determine the effective management of these threats. As part of a comprehensive approach, the text is supplemented by the current view of the European Union and NATO on addressing the issue of hybrid action by hostile actors. A summary comparison of the approaches of the Czech Republic, the European Union and NATO points to the need for mutual institutional synergy among these entities. Although the current approaches of the mentioned subjects are relatively sufficiently doctrinally anchored, the absence of a complex and especially practically functioning apparatus and specific operational tools that would be able to face a wide range of hybrid threats persists. |
Cognitive Hierarchy and IntelligenceReviewed - ReviewJozef Vojtek, Josef Říha, Miroslav ŠuhajVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 2/2022, Vol. XXXI. (LXIII.): 88-105 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.31.2022.02.088-105 The article deals with the issue of the cognitive pyramid and the possible use of intelligence analysis in the context of gaining the understanding and wisdom of users of information using this pyramid. The cognitive pyramid is used to define the terms date, information, knowledge, understanding and wisdom that make up the various levels of the pyramid. The paper attempts to discuss concepts in different models of the pyramid. It briefly describes intelligence in the context of the use of intelligence by means of a cognitive pyramid. Intelligence is a special kind of knowledge. This article also seeks to explore how intelligence creation can be explained using a cognitive analytical pyramid model. |
Applicability of Multirotors in Czech Armed ForcesReviewed - ResearchPetr Žárský, Petr Hlavizna, Jakub HnidkaVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 2/2022, Vol. XXXI. (LXIII.): 106-120 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.31.2022.02.106-120 Authors of the paper present results of research in the area of deployment and operation of multirotors, i.e., autonomous aerial systems with vertical take-off and landing (VTOL) capability. Survey of Czech Army experts' opinions based on the Delphi method points to the significance of MINI VTOL UAS project undertaking - reconnaissance VTOL autonomous aerial system. The conclusion of the analysis is the identification of the primary applications of and requirements for (concept, system, and training) successful deployment of multirotors, with framing of existing issues of technical, acquisition/program and legislative nature, and determination of their importance. The paper also explores experts' views to the acquisition and operation of multirotors in Czech Army to achieve their full operational potential, certainly available in the future battlefield. Inconsistent architecture of information sharing was identified by experts as one of the most important issues with the highest likelihood of solution in the upcoming years. |
The Information War in Ukraine as a Part of the Military StrategyReviewed - ReviewJan MěřičkaVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 1/2022, Vol. XXXI. (LXIII.): 21-37 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.31.2022.01.021-037 This paper assesses the information war in Ukraine in the context of the military strategy. An influence of the information operation (disinformation and deception) presents the strategic tool. The author pragmatically analyses the information war from the military art perspectives and as a part of the strategy used for support of the combat operations. He identifies phases of the information war in the context of the war. The author expects and confirms the opinion that the information war is led by both external actors (the USA and the Russian Federation). Their top representatives are involving in the information war because they support their own interests. This paper has been written as a neo-realist case study. The balance of power concept is in accordance with the used theory, as well as with the key interests of the external actors. |
Convergence of NDPP and CSDP Planning Process as a Part of the NATO-EU Strategic Partnership ReinforcingReviewed - ReviewZdeněk PetrášVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 4/2021, Vol. XXX. (LXII.): 45-59 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.30.2021.04.045-059 Over the last few years, a need for reinforcing the NATO-EU mutual coherence has become increasingly apparent. The EU and NATO have recently initiated the steps to consolidate the strategic cooperation where a way ahead to converge NDPP and CSDP planning process was also underpinned. The recent introduction of new tools tailored to get more effective the CSDP process offers new opportunities for facilitating a convergence of EU and NATO planning approaches. Even if it is impossible to assume that the Alliance's and the Union's planning processes would become identical, the implementation of PESCO and other subsequent procedural tools has created a room for potential synchronization and harmonization of respective planning processes. The paper summarises findings on certain parts of both processes which could be brought closer, in terms of time and procedures, without affecting the autonomy of both organizations in any way. |
Qualitative Research on PESCO Projects Direction in the Field of CBRNReviewed - ResearchMiroslav Pohanka, Antonín NovotnýVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 4/2021, Vol. XXX. (LXII.): 60-73 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.30.2021.04.060-073 Chemical, Biological, Radiological and Nuclear (CBRN) weapons still represent a relevant threat despite international treaties and regulations. International projects like the Permanent Structured Cooperation (PESCO) of European Union (EU) appears as a suitable way of the further development when considered both complexity and expensiveness of the countermeasures to the CBRN. In this work, basic principles of PESCO, limitations, opportunities and expected directions of innovations were searched. The final recommendations on PESCO projects in the CBRN field are founded on the reached findings. Recommendations and conclusions on limited PESCO efficacy on one side and opportunity to resolve weakness of the Army of the Czech Republic (AČR) in the CBRN by collaboration in the EU on the other were particularly described in this paper. Without the collaboration, the AČR will hardly reflect the progress on CBRN defense. |
Slovakia and Germany - partners in defence and security areaReviewed - ReviewStanislava BrajerčíkováVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 4/2018, Vol. XXVII. (LIX.): 64-77 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.27.2018.04.064-077 The paper analyses goals of the Slovak and German foreign and security policy focused on their role in NATO as well as on the role by forming European security and defence policy. The paper deals with potential and opportunities for more intensive and effective cooperation between Slovakia and Germany regarding their security and defence policy orientation. It finds out that there are some important NATO and EU projects and initiatives, such as "out of area" missions engagement, battle groups building, Framework Nations Concept or a new announced project Permanent Structured Cooperation (PESCO) to be used in the deepening process of Slovak-German security and defence relations. |
How to Ensuere Population Protection During Endangering of the State, and the State of War?Nonreviewed - ResearchIng. Jiří Halaška, Ph.D., prof. MUDr. Leoš Navrátil, CSc.Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 4/2015, Vol. XXIV. (LVI.): 58-67 | DOI: 10.3849/1210-3292.24.2015.04.058-067 The lecture discusses the possible forms and methods for further development of Population protection, focusing on implementation of measures to protect the population at higher crisis status. The aim of the lecture is to analyze possible priorities, resources, and procedures for population protection in serious and large-scale crisis situations using all available forces and capabilities of the State and citizens. The work also deals with the possibility of more effective measures of population protection during announcement of higher crisis status generating additional forces and means and methods for the management of these measures. The aim of the work is among other things to point out the fact that the measures of population protection must be prepared in perspective and comprehensive and must reflect the potential risks, including the large scale crisis, which may be occur in the territory. |
Defense Capability and Armed ForcesNonreviewed - Otherdoc. Ing. Milan Kubeša, CSc., plk. gšt. Ing. Tomáš RakVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 4/2015, Vol. XXIV. (LVI.): 68-78 The article aims at highlighting the dangers of long underestimating the need to permanently improve the defense capabilities to deal with current and future security threats. Authors suggest propositions on where to direct the efforts to improve the competence of the Defense to meet the Act Of Defense Requirements. The first part of the article describes, after brief analysis, the options of collective defense and explains the need to solve demanding tasks on own territory under national responsibility in parallel. The second part of the article describes the main thoughts of the theory of "territorial defense", which is missing in current Doctrine of the Armed Forces of the Czech Republic. Theory of territorial defense makes a foundation, upon which the preparedness of the Armed forces of the Czech Republic should be built. In the third part of the article the authors discuss the alternative of implementing the collective defense principle by building multinational joint forces, independent of national armed forces, in transnational responsibility of the coalition of member states, dedicated to the territorial defense of member states and to crisis response expeditionary operations. |
Not only on the Long-term Planning in the Defence SectorNonreviewed - OtherIng. Oldřich HoďánekVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 1/2015, Vol. XXIV. (LVI.): 20-25 Presented text mainly deals with the issue of long-term planning in the department of the Ministry of Defence (MOD) of the Czech Republic. The issue is discussed at many levels, taking into account economic and other operational factors that are very important for adequate functioning of the department. Attention is focused both on theoretical considerations, and practical implications of proper planning. |
The White Paper and Preparing National DefenceNonreviewed - OtherMgr. František ŠulcVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 2/2013, Vol. XXII. (LIV.): 3-14 The White Paper on Defence was approved by the Government of the Czech Republic on 18 May 2011. The article describes a circumstances of the document development and its substance and role in the family of the defence strategic documents. In addition, the article highlights some important measures of the White Paper that has been implemented in practice. The author who was a member of the committee, responsible for development, and an editor of the White Paper, responds to some voices, claiming that the document has not come up to expectations and it is not usable for the future of the Czech Armed Forces. The author presents his lessons learned from the development and implementation of the document and describes some recommendations for the future. |
The Future of Czech Defence SystemReviewed - ReviewPhDr. Antonín RašekVojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 1/2013, Vol. XXII. (LIV.): 113-130 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.22.2013.01.113-130 Methodically, presented study comes out of a book by Martin Potůček at al. Studying the Future as a Challenge. Its author offers a comprehensive characteristic of several fundamental challenges to social forecasting. It begins by defining forecasting as the formulation of conditional accounts of possible futures. The main forecasting theme to be solved are as follows: ageing Czech population as a security problem, corruption, criminality, organized crime as a tool of political and economy instability, the marginalization of Czech Armed Forces in context of globalization and overall European defence, possible threat of the collapse of Czech defence system. |

