Vojenské Rozhledy

Czech Military Review

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Results 421 to 450 of 2990:

Security Preconditions and Threats (Economy, Religious and Cybernetic Menaces)

PhDr. Antonín Rašek

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 2/2011, Vol. XX. (LII.): 38-52

One of main task while preparing new security documents is to identify, analyze and evaluate newly emerging, self-generating security threats. They menace cybernetic, economy, bank, and religious security. The special menace, as for inner security it is lobbyism. Cybernetic threat is today regarded as more dangerous than nuclear strike. The American lived through those experiences in Iraq. Another example is cyber attacks on Estonia in 2007 that swamped websites of Estonian organizations, including Estonian parliament, banks, ministries, newspapers and broadcasters.The attacks triggered a number of military organisations around the world (including NATO) to reconsider the importance of network security to modern military doctrine. There is a paradigm: the more modern country, the more risks are opened. The situation is complicated by the fact that in sophisticated society there is hard to identify attacking enemy. The author underlines that we are the last member nation in the EU that has no official CSIRT (Computer Security Incident Response Team) to react cyber /terrorist attracts.

Military Exercises EU-MILEX

Military art

Ing. Jaroslav Kulíšek

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 2/2010, Vol. XIX. (LI.): 65-81

Such exercises are regular part of European exercise process that in periodical cycles examines individual capacities of solving crisis situations, conducting crisis operations under methods developed by the EU. European training process does not cover only the preparation of military units, but also those of civil elements (police, rescue teams, diplomats). Since 2007 the exercises have been ran according to a common scenario "ALISIA", with the purpose to practise crisis operations control by commanders and staffs of EU nations, without any means and elements or support by NATO. European exercise process allows to the EUMS to organize and harmonize two exercises of solving crisis situations in a year. Five members of the Czech Army took part in the exercise MILEX 09 last year. They were involved in the operational planning process at the EU OHQ Specialist Staff, CJ2, CJ4, CJ5 and CJ7 departments. The article is mostly based on the experiences of Czech offi cers at the EU OHQ LARISSA.

Evaluation and Certification CZE/SVK Battle Group EU

Military art

Ing. Jaroslav Kulíšek

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 2/2009, Vol. XVIII. (L.): 11-40

To fulfil Czech obligation as an EU Battle Group Framework Nation according to the regulating document EU BG Training and Certification, the Czech Army is to certify that the CZE/SVK Battle Group EU meet the standards and criteria stated in Standards and Criteria for EU BG. It is recommended that the CZE/SVK Battle Group EU certification process should be analogous with NATO Response Force (NRF) certification procedure and practical methods. Further it is suggested that the CZE/SVK Battle Group EU certification procedure is divided into several evaluation procedures: preparation planning evaluation, war-fighting evaluation, and technical evaluation. Each procedure will be developed by specialized teams with representatives in the sub-working group to ensure that the different procedures harmonize. The views expressed in this assessment are those of the author and do not reflect the official policy or position of EU Military Structure or the Czech Ministry of Defence. All information and data for this paper were drawn from unclassified sources. The written sources are listed in the matrix above.

Why to Afghanistan? Skills, Money or Ideals?

Reviewed - Research

Mgr. Jitka Laštovková, Ph.D., plk. PhDr. Kateřina Bernardová

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 4/2014, Vol. XXIII. (LV.): 40-50 | DOI: 10.3849/1210-3292.23.2014.04.040-050

The motivation and professional values of soldiers involved in Other People's Wars is one of the most important knowledge necessary for effective command and control. Those were main reasons for an extensive questionnaire survey among soldiers, deployed in PRT ISAF in 2010-2011. One of the key topics was motivation to leave for Afghanistan, professional expectations and evaluations of external and internal environment of the mission. The purpose of this paper is to present the basic outlines of values of today's Czech soldiers, their professional motives and expectations. The results are interpreted in the context of Moskos' theory of the contradiction between institutional and occupational orientations of present armed forces and adapted to the actual social and political state of affairs.

The Big Data Phenomenon as a Trend Influencing Technical Intelligence Disciplines

Reviewed - Other

Mjr. Ing. Martin Havlík, MBA, MSc.

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 4/2014, Vol. XXIII. (LV.): 124-132 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.23.2014.04.124-132

This specialised article deals with Big Data and the exploitation of this current day phenomenon in the field of intelligence disciplines, based on technical methods of data gathering and its relevant assessments. The introduction deals with the issue of development of the security environment and gives general overview on the current trends in the field of technical branches. The following chapter analyses the main trends, especially the digitalisation of the battlefield, rise in data volume and the development of new technologies. The next chapter is focused on the basic terminology description of the Big Data issue, which leads into final assessment and certain prediction of future development in this field and the rise of importance of this trend for the intelligence disciplines in future.

Strategy and Strategy Culture in the Early 21st Century

Nonreviewed - Other

Doc. PhDr. Jan Eichler, CSc.

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 4/2014, Vol. XXIII. (LV.): 142-151

Strategy and strategic culture influence everyday lives of soldier and military units, as well as the system of their preparation for combats. In case of wars, they have a decisive impact on the destiny of civilian population. The strategic culture of every state has its national, international and historic dimensions. The article explains the criteria of militarism, because those phenomena were typical for a history of some states. First and foremost, backed by the analysis of a dramatic development of the strategic culture of the US during the first decade of the 21st century, the article concludes and explains its core and importance for our contemporary world.

Changes in Security Environment, Influence on State Defence Policy and Armed Forces

Nonreviewed - Other

Luboš Dobrovský

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 3/2014, Vol. XXIII. (LV.): 3-8

The separatist movements at Ukraine, Crimea annexation, have fundamentally changed today's security surrounding. All that came about were in fact described in the last Russian military doctrine of February 2010, herein the Czech strategic thinking failed, leaving the nation unprepared. The Czech military documents identify threats too broadly, without setting definite opponents. One precondition failed completely, namely a gradual emergence of threats, enabling the Czech Republic to prepare itself. The author explains his own views on current security European affairs and asks to modernize and adjust both Czech defence policy and military science.

The article is in Czech Language only.
PDF

Resources for Defence of the Czech Republic: Perspectives and Opportunities

Reviewed - Review

Ing. František Mičánek, plk. doc. Ing. Vladan Holcner, Ph.D., Ing. Jakub Odehnal, Ph.D., Ing. Aleš Olejníček, Ph.D., Mgr. František Šulc

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 3/2014, Vol. XXIII. (LV.): 9-21 | DOI: 10.3849/1210-3292.23.2014.03.009-021

The paper is focused on the area of defence sources in the Czech Republic. Within an analysis of the actual situation in military spending in the Czech Republic, some potential approaches are defined to enable the reasonable and transparent allocation of resources for national defence. Based on these approaches, three courses of action are derived in order to deal with current resources inadequacy and instability in defence.

The article is available only in the Czech language. For more information please contact editors.

Military Career Courses for Senior Officers

Nonreviewed - Other

Ing. Vojtěch Němeček, Ph.D., Ing. Jaroslav Kolkus, Ing. František Mičánek

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 3/2014, Vol. XXIII. (LV.): 44-51 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.23.2014.03.044-051

The career education of the Ministry of Defence (MoD) personnel is a key component to meet requirements for qualifications. As these requirements are career growth conditions for career personnel, they are inherently connected with further promotion in rank. During the process of preparation of the career courses it was revealed that some system changes should be made due to implemented or planned changes within the legislative and source framework of the Ministry of Defence. This article describes the implementation process of a new policy for training personnel in the career courses. It was prepared by a project team headed by the Centre for Security and Military Strategic Studies at the Defence University. Furthermore, the article deals with the clarification of the approach to the development of educational documentation and the chosen form of organization and conduction of military career courses. Also, a quality control system and a collection of information needed for upgrading of the senior officers career education curricula are described.

Prospects of Artillery: Which Way Ahead for the Czech Armed Forces

Reviewed - Review

Plukovník Ing. Ivan Mráz, Ph.D., podplukovník gšt. Ing. Milan Kalina

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 3/2014, Vol. XXIII. (LV.): 52-63 | DOI: 10.3849/1210-3292.23.2014.03.052-063

The fire support is an inevitable prerequisite for the success of combat forces in land military operations and artillery is its key provider. Will it be even in a future complex and uncertain operating environment? The article recalls high requirements on the current ACR artillery and with the use of the Alliance partner's findings, it points to selected aspects that might influence its capabilities development towards the future operations. The article defines artillery as an indirect fire system and clarifies its role and tasks in the framework of joint fire support. It proposes measures to increase the quality of its training and management. It discusses the issue of an operational concept and its importance for the future ACR artillery, together with introducing main trends in areas of its potential development.

Concept of Kant's Peace: Settling Disputes Peacefully

Reviewed - Review

Mgr. Petra Průchová

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 3/2014, Vol. XXIII. (LV.): 64-89 | DOI: 10.3849/1210-3292.23.2014.03.064-089

This essay is focused upon the concept of Perpetual Peace (1795) by the German Philosopher Immanuel Kant. To reach this goal, he advocated the establishment of a word federation of republican states. But some key prerequisites (s.c. preliminary and definitive articles) must be completed. The authoress compares the Kant's concepts with the ideas of solidarity by the Czech philosopher Jan Patočka. The readers themselves must pass the judgement whether Kant's prerequisites of eternal peace-even for more then two centuries-are fulfilled, or not. This subject matter belongs to a relatively young field of study dealing with war and peace, the so-called paxology, the theory how peace can be maintained in the world.

This essay is focused upon the concept of Perpetual Peace (1795) by the German Philosopher Immanuel Kant. To reach this goal, he advocated the establishment of a word federation of republican states. But some key prerequisites (s.c. preliminary and definitive articles) must be completed. The authoress compares the Kant's concepts with the ideas of solidarity by the Czech philosopher Jan Patočka. The readers themselves must pass the judgement whether Kant's prerequisites of eternal peace-even for more then two centuries-are fulfilled, or not. This subject matter belongs to a relatively young field of study dealing with war and peace, the so-called paxology, the theory how peace can be maintained in the world.

Space Policy through the Prism of the Concept of Strategic Culture

Reviewed - Review

Mgr. Jakub Fučík, PhDr. Petr Suchý, Ph.D.

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 3/2014, Vol. XXIII. (LV.): 90-105 | DOI: 10.3849/1210-3292.23.2014.03.090-105

The article deals with the issue of creation and realization of space policy. Space programs of individual states are closely connected to decision-making processes of the (general) state (public) policy. Therefore we can raise a question which factors influence these processes and the formulation of space policy and also if they are so unique that could be related only to one particular state. The aim of this article is to focus on one of the factors influencing space policy-strategic culture. Its influence is analysed through case studies of seven nations. Each case study is divided into two parts. First, we identify relevant characteristics of the state's strategic culture. Then, we analyse whether and how the identified characteristics of the respective strategic culture influence the space policy of a state in question. This article seeks to contribute to the growing debate about space as "the next" strategic area and highlights rather overlooked reasons of space exploration.

Why Russia Wants to Buy Mistral Class Warships

Nonreviewed - Other

Mgr. Jakub Harašta

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 3/2014, Vol. XXIII. (LV.): 106-111

The Russian armed forces are influenced by a new concept of possible armed conflict. At present, Russian forces are not preparing themselves to one massive conflict, as in the period of bi-polar world, but the main stress is put on power-projection, into the spheres of Russian interests, i. e. into post-soviet republics. The Russian armed forces ought to be able partake in three regional conflicts simultaneously. That's why organizational and technological changes are presently in motion. The acquisition of French first Mistral-class vessels is an organic part of this process. The theme is particularly topical in the context of the current Ukrainian crisis.

The Famous Czechoslovak Legion

Nonreviewed - Other

JUDr. et PhDr. Jaroslav Padrnos, CSc.

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 3/2014, Vol. XXIII. (LV.): 152-169

The Czechoslovak Legion was a revolutionary armed force formed abroad that had come into being during World War I. It is said that without this force, there would be no independent Czechoslovakia. Without a foreign political, diplomatic and military resistance of the Czechoslovak National Council, headed by Prof. Dr. Tomáš Garrigue Masaryk, Doc. Dr. Edvard Beneš, and Brig. Gen. Milan Rastislav Štefánik, there would be no Czechoslovak Legion. Even in the hard times, the large majority of legionnaires were always true to the Czech and the Slovak nation during World War II, and after the war. But after the February 1948, those nations, officially represented by the Communist Party of Czechoslovakia, were not true to them.

Topical Reflections over Nations Bounded by International Law

Nonreviewed - Other

JUDr. et PhDr. Jaroslav Padrnos, CSc.

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 2/2014, Vol. XXIII. (LV.): 3-7 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.23.2014.02.003-007

Respecting rules of international laws is indispensable to guarantee a peace balance among forces of all states. It ought to be in their own interest. By and large, the flagrant breaking of those rules and acts of aggression correspond directly to the military power of individual states. Examples are abundant. This essay deals with the definition of aggression that was adopted by the United Nations General Assembly on December 14, 1974.

Security Dimension of Israeli Maritime Borders

Reviewed - Review

Plukovník gšt. Mgr. Ing. Libor Kutěj, Ph.D.

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 2/2014, Vol. XXIII. (LV.): 53-64 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.23.2014.02.053-064

Příspěvek se zabývá vybranými bezpečnostními aspekty námořních hraničních linií Státu Izrael. V krátkosti vymezuje současnou organizaci izraelského válečného námořnictva a jeho vybavení pro zabezpečování izraelské svrchovanosti proti hrozbám přicházejícím z moře, včetně zadržovacích operací vedoucích k zabránění šíření zbraní do rukou protiizraelských teroristických organizací. V souvislosti s izraelskou námořní blokádou pásma Gazy je komentována legitimita takového kroku a mezinárodněpolitické konsekvence jejího vynucování. Ekonomické souvislosti přetrvávajících problémů stran izraelské námořní hranice jsou evidentní na příkladu sporu o právo k využití podmořských nalezišť plynu.

Operational Approach Development: Application of Operational Art Theory in Practice - 2nd part

Reviewed - Review

Ing. Ján Spišák, Ph.D.

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 2/2014, Vol. XXIII. (LV.): 65-75 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.23.2014.02.065-075

The article deals with some aspects of applied theory of operational art within the operations planning process. It discusses the area of operational design concepts and suggests possible ways of this theory application in the process of operational approach development. The described theory is a sequel to the article published in this Military Review No. 1/2014.

Perspectives of Development of Light Combat Units

Nonreviewed - Review

Nadporučík Ing. Pavel Zahradníček

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 2/2014, Vol. XXIII. (LV.): 109-116

The article identifies specific attributes which have influenced success of modern warfare conducted by infantry battalions and their sub-units. There are mentioned ways to suppress the negatives and opportunities to use positives. There is drafted a possible task organization structure of battalion which allows the variability, modularity and combat readiness, according to capabilities and statements catalogue. The author was inspired by his own experiences as an infantry unit commander. He uses his knowledge gained from military assignments. The article could be considered as topic for future discussions not only on academic but also on specialized level.

Development of Personnel of the Ministry of Defence in Career Courses

Nonreviewed - Other

Ing. Vojtěch Němeček, Ph.D., Ing. Jaroslav Kolkus, Ing. František Mičánek

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 2/2014, Vol. XXIII. (LV.): 117-127

Career education of the Ministry of Defence (MoD) personnel is a key component to meet requirements for qualifications. As these requirements are career growth conditions for career personnel, they are inherently connected with further promotion in rank. The MoD Concept of Personnel Development for 2012-2018 sets the direction of the educational development to achieve these qualification requirements. During the process of preparation of the career courses it was revealed that some system changes should be made due to implemented or planned changes within the legislative and source framework of the Ministry of Defence.This article describes the proposal of a new concept for training of personnel in the career courses. It was prepared by a project team headed by the Centre for Security and Military Strategic Studies at the Defence University. The article also shows the development of the situation since 2004, when the professionalization of the Armed Forces of the Czech Republic occurred.

Milan Rastislav Štefánik - Scientist, Soldier, Diplomat and Politician An Unconventional Look

Nonreviewed - Other

JUDr. et PhDr. Jaroslav Padrnos, CSc.

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 2/2014, Vol. XXIII. (LV.): 154-163

The life and work of General Dr. Milan Rastislav Štefánik is without doubts the life and work of one of the three leading crisis managers of extraordinary skills operating in an enviroment of first escalating global crisis of the 20th century. The phenomenal result of their activivities was the establishment of the Czechoslovak Republic. The author concludes that Štefánik´s work is timeless, from which we ought to draw a continual inspiration.

The Analysis of Internal Regulations and Regulative Acts in Armed Forces (Part II)

Reviewed - Review

JUDr. Ing. Dalibor Nový

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 1/2014, Vol. XXIII. (LV.): 90-105 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.23.2014.01.090-105

Article analyses the relation between legal and internal regulations and other management acts in public administration, focusing on their own hierarchy, quantity, liability in specific areas of Czech armed forces. The first part was published in Military Review No. 4/2013; this following section focuses on the creation of internal management acts and their releasing for the recipients. The article also emphasizes the need for a stable organization, which is necessary for the effective implementation of personnel management, personnel control and the so-called internal and external legislations.

Operational Approach Development: Application of Operational Art Theory in Practice (1st part)

Reviewed - Review

Ing. Ján Spišák, Ph.D.

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 1/2014, Vol. XXIII. (LV.): 128-135 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.23.2014.01.128-135

The article deals with aspects of operational art inside the operations planning process. It deals with the concepts of operational design and suggests a possible way of introducing such theory into the development process of operational approach. This paper is a free sequel to several articles published in Military Review on this theme. It introduces several professional terms in the field of operational art, up to now not officially established.

Evaluation of Operation and Maintenance of the Ground Equipment of the Army of the Czech Republic

Nonreviewed - Other

Mjr. Ing. Martin Kurka, mjr. Ing. Jiří Kudláček

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 1/2014, Vol. XXIII. (LV.): 136-154

The article reviews contemporary traditional approaches towards the evaluation of ground military vehicles and equipment, oriented on the role and potential of top-ranking officials in this area. The author promotes the introduction of some electronic Log Book for monitoring and rating the operational data of the military equipment, with the help of new General Packet Radio Service module, to improve the effectiveness of operational system, maintenance and savings.

Cyberspace as a "Fifth Domain"?

Reviewed - Review

Mgr. Martin Bastl, Ph.D., Zuzana Gruberová

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 4/2013, Vol. XXII. (LIV.): 10-21 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.22.2013.04.010-021

The aim of the article is to present an up-to-date discussion on cyberspace as a new, fifth domain of warfare. The reader is provided with the concept of cyberspace, its current interpretation, primarily in American doctrines and military theory. The army mission is contextually mentioned as well, explicitly the limits of Czech forces capacity. The paper deals with the form of cyberspace and its characteristics in the context of military operations. It advocates the idea of cyberspace as a war domain, which is presented together with the criticism to such approach. The article concludes with the summary and evaluation of both sides' arguments, taking into account the specific role and abilities of armed forces.

The State Material Reserves Administration in the Mirror of the Security Research

Nonreviewed - Research

Ing. Mgr. Stanislav Kulhánek, prof. PhDr. František Ochrana, DrSc.

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 4/2013, Vol. XXII. (LIV.): 173-192

The control of emergency economic measures, namely state material reserves, is an important part of Czech security system. From the institutional point of view, all is run under the authority of a central institution-the Administration of State Material Reserves (ASMR). This paper deals with its role in the management of state material reserves, reflects problems and consequences resulting from the changes in security surrounding, re-evaluates opinions and views both by experts of state administrations and academic community. Those are the main key questions the study seeks an answer.

Long-term planning - theory and practice

Nonreviewed - Other

Ing. Vladimír KARAFFA, CSc.

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 3/2013, Vol. XXII. (LIV.): 3-14 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.22.2013.03.003-014

The article deals with some aspects of long-term planning in the sector of theMinistry of Defence. Its aim is to stimulate discussion about the methods and processes of long-term planning, to point out some shortcomings in the development of strategic documents in the past. The text also describes the basis for long-term planning process and particularly the role of long-term foresight. The author analyses lessons learned from the developing and implementation of Long-Term Vision of the Ministry of Defence document (2008) and tries to aply them in drafting a new document, The Long-Term Vision for Defence in 2030, is now being prepared under the leadership of the Ministry of Defence of the Czech Republic. He also highlights some of the theoretical principles for developing documents in the process of strategic management.

Public Strategies Preparation in Defence: Forces Development Concept

Reviewed - Review

Generálmajor Ing. Miroslav Žižka, Ing. Pavel Zůna, MSS., Ph.D.

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 3/2013, Vol. XXII. (LIV.): 15-26 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.22.2013.03015-026

Today, the word Concept is one of most used terms in the framework of long and medium term of defence management. Concept development as a process is mentioned in significant number of departmental regulations and descriptions of activities of organizational bodies of the Ministry of Defence and General Staff. Concept development and Experimentation is a kind of incantation used when we speak about the development of long and medium term strategic documents. This article comprises the analysis of the legal regulations concerning the development of strategic documents. It analyses the implications of the governmental Methodology of mid-term concepts and Methodology of preparation of public strategies for departmental strategic documents.

Basic Elements of Modular Force Structures

Reviewed - Review

Podplukovník Ing. Radek Dubec, Ph.D., Ing. Ján Spišák

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 3/2013, Vol. XXII. (LIV.): 27-40 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.22.2013.03.027-040

Článek je shrnutím výsledků řešení projektu obranného výzkumu STRUKTURA: Tvorba modulárních struktur úkolových uskupení pro celé spektrum operací a jejich ověřování s využitím tvorby koncepcí a experimentování - CD&E. Je zaměřen na objasnění problematiky definování modulů jako základního prvku modularity a možné přístupy k výběru hodnocení a formování modulárních úkolových uskupení. Cílem článku je pojednat o možnostech tvorby úkolových uskupení a generování sil v podmínkách definovaných a popsaných scénářů. Hlavní části článku vymezují determinanty organizace modulárních struktur a jejich popis.

Twenty Years of the Army of the Czech Republic: How to Go On?

Nonreviewed - Other

Ing. Josef Procházka, Ph.D.

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 2/2013, Vol. XXII. (LIV.): 48-58

The main characteristics of the Armed Forces of the Czech Republic-leadership, organization, doctrines, personnel and its preparation, weapons systems, material, infrastructure-has been continuously adopted since their creation in 1993. This article analyses three main strands of this process: the first one constitutes the changes in the global security environment and their impact on the role and tasks of armed forces. The second strand reflects the marginalisation of security and defence policy agenda, influencing the instability of armed forces. The last strand focuses on the growing role of international organisations during the provision of security and defence of the Czech Republic. In summary, the author identifies main challenges ahead for Czech political and military leadership.

Horizon 2030: The Risk-Laden Future of Global Security

Reviewed - Review

PhDr. Miloš Balabán, Ph.D.

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 2/2013, Vol. XXII. (LIV.): 69-87 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.22.2013.02.069-087

The article analyzes several key conclusions of US National Intelligence Council's study "Global Trends 2030: Alternative Worlds", published in December 2012. Primarily it focuses on: the diffusion of global power influencing political, economic and security development on both global and regional scales; rising importance of the Asia-Pacific region for global economy and security; Sino-American security relations; the role that the United States and Europe should be played in the changing geopolitical reality. The conclusions offer the author's own interpretation of certain development trajectories, based on his earlier published monographs, studies and articles.

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