Vojenské Rozhledy

Czech Military Review

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Results 391 to 420 of 5311:

Emerging New Threats in Unstable World

Reviewed

PhDr. Miloš Balabán, Ph.D., prof. PhDr. Martin Potůček, CSc., MSc., PhDr. Antonín Rašek

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 4/2011, Vol. XX. (LII.): 3-21

The article identifies new threats of global character influencing global security and quality of life. The inspiration is drawn from the debate over proposed updated Czech security strategy 2011, where several security scenarios were drafted. It is a free sequel to the study "Wild Cards in Future Development of World Security" published in this review in No. 2, 2008. The titles of some chapters are as follows: The Collapse of World's Monetary System and Global Economic Warfare, Crisis of Global Government, The Shortage of Key Commodities (oil, gas, coal, raw materials, water, foodstuffs), Migration, Organized Crime, European Union prior to Disintegration, The Crisis of NATO, New Religions, Will Rich People Live Longer?, etc.

Command and Control as an Important Part of Military Science (Getting on for Information Age)

Reviewed - Review

Ing. Petr Ryp, plk. Ing. Robert Bielený

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 3/2011, Vol. XX. (LII.): 29-33

The specification of terminology related to terms command and control (C2) is quite important for further scholarly examination of military science. The command and control area is nowadays under the constant impact of the influx of information technology, as well as it is affected by the changes in the contemporary security environment. This article is dedicated to the military, its history, and its contributions to current military operations. It provides an attempt to specify terms "command and control" in both general and military levels. Finally, it provides clarification of the terminology within command and control systems, as their terminology has been changing. In a simple way, the C2 could be characterized as the execution of authority by the commander, via communication and information systems, with the use of current standard operational procedures, under present laws and rules, to act in the interest of forces to meet assigned orders and intentions.

The Big Data Phenomenon as a Trend Influencing Technical Intelligence Disciplines

Reviewed - Other

Mjr. Ing. Martin Havlík, MBA, MSc.

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 4/2014, Vol. XXIII. (LV.): 124-132 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.23.2014.04.124-132

This specialised article deals with Big Data and the exploitation of this current day phenomenon in the field of intelligence disciplines, based on technical methods of data gathering and its relevant assessments. The introduction deals with the issue of development of the security environment and gives general overview on the current trends in the field of technical branches. The following chapter analyses the main trends, especially the digitalisation of the battlefield, rise in data volume and the development of new technologies. The next chapter is focused on the basic terminology description of the Big Data issue, which leads into final assessment and certain prediction of future development in this field and the rise of importance of this trend for the intelligence disciplines in future.

Water Potential for Conflicts and Confusion of Global Hydropolitics

Reviewed - Review

Prof. Ing. Josef Říha, DrSc.

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 2/2014, Vol. XXIII. (LV.): 128-140 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.23.2014.02.128-140

This paper addresses a gap in the literature relating to the effects and implications of water scarcity and the potential for water wars. The theme has evident military consequences. Experts provide rather pessimistic forecasts about the situation with freshwater on the planet. The early warning models seem to be quite useful as well as early warning conflict indicators. The author deals with the problem from the level of the Czech Republic.

Controlling Implementation in Defence Department

Reviewed - Review

Doc. Ing. Roman Horák, CSc., mjr. Ing. Blanka Adámková, Ph.D.

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 4/2013, Vol. XXII. (LIV.): 91-104 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.22.2013.04.091-104

The article deals with controlling implementation into the mechanism of central institutions and state administrative management of the CzechRepublic (CR), hereinafter state administration. The purpose of this article is to present state administration controlling as an effective control tool, backed by best experiences and practice in the Germany. The authors explain and determine theoretical bases and circumstances to put controlling into practice. They comment the effecitivity of controlling implementation in Czech state administration, using as an example the Defence Ministry of the CR.

Updating Security Strategy Czech Republic 2011 (Inspirational Power of Security Community)

Opinions, controversy

PhDr. Antonín RAŠEK

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 1/2012, Vol. XXI. (LIII.): 99-121

In September 2011 the government approved the new Security Strategy of the Czech Republic. It was important that this document was discussed and elaborated with the participation of the security community, security professionals both from the army and civil institutions or schools; among others we must state the CEVRO institute or the CESES centre, Charles University Prague. The author familiarizes readers with its contents and the history of its genesis by means of polemics with individual items of this document. In addition to general statements, there should be concrete proposals, the authors supposes, for tangible precautions, which might help readers to comprehend proposed measures, and thus to open way to deeper understanding among wide public to security problems, i.e. impending threats and dangers.

Why to Afghanistan? Skills, Money or Ideals?

Reviewed - Research

Mgr. Jitka Laštovková, Ph.D., plk. PhDr. Kateřina Bernardová

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 4/2014, Vol. XXIII. (LV.): 40-50 | DOI: 10.3849/1210-3292.23.2014.04.040-050

The motivation and professional values of soldiers involved in Other People's Wars is one of the most important knowledge necessary for effective command and control. Those were main reasons for an extensive questionnaire survey among soldiers, deployed in PRT ISAF in 2010-2011. One of the key topics was motivation to leave for Afghanistan, professional expectations and evaluations of external and internal environment of the mission. The purpose of this paper is to present the basic outlines of values of today's Czech soldiers, their professional motives and expectations. The results are interpreted in the context of Moskos' theory of the contradiction between institutional and occupational orientations of present armed forces and adapted to the actual social and political state of affairs.

Operation Sangaris 2013: French intervention in Central Africa

Reviewed - Review

Doc. PhDr. Jan Eichler, CSc.

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 2/2014, Vol. XXIII. (LV.): 41-52 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.23.2014.02.041-052

The acts of violence have swept the whole Central African Republic (CAR) since March last year. When the Muslim fighters of Seleka rebel groups had deposed a Christian president Francois Bozize, the fighting between Christian militias and Muslim population broke out. The provisional government of the Muslim Michel Djotodia allegedly intentionally massacred civilians, including women, children and old people. In December 2013, under the resolution by the Security Council, UN, the French troops of 1600 men were sent to help to African Union soldiers to keep growing chaos at bay. But up to now, the violence has not been stopped. Nearly a million of people have been internally displaced in the country. A total of 935 thousand of Central Africans are currently sheltering in scrublands or living with their relatives. More than half of the city's population fled Bangui, some 60 per cent of those displaced are children, according to the UN refugee agency, UNHCR.

Space Policy through the Prism of the Concept of Strategic Culture

Reviewed - Review

Mgr. Jakub Fučík, PhDr. Petr Suchý, Ph.D.

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 3/2014, Vol. XXIII. (LV.): 90-105 | DOI: 10.3849/1210-3292.23.2014.03.090-105

The article deals with the issue of creation and realization of space policy. Space programs of individual states are closely connected to decision-making processes of the (general) state (public) policy. Therefore we can raise a question which factors influence these processes and the formulation of space policy and also if they are so unique that could be related only to one particular state. The aim of this article is to focus on one of the factors influencing space policy-strategic culture. Its influence is analysed through case studies of seven nations. Each case study is divided into two parts. First, we identify relevant characteristics of the state's strategic culture. Then, we analyse whether and how the identified characteristics of the respective strategic culture influence the space policy of a state in question. This article seeks to contribute to the growing debate about space as "the next" strategic area and highlights rather overlooked reasons of space exploration.

Operational Concepts and Armed Forces Use in the Future Operations

Reviewed - Review

Podplukovník gšt. Ing. Ivo Pikner, Ph.D., Mgr. Lukáš Dyčka

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 1/2014, Vol. XXIII. (LV.): 81-89 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.23.2014.01.081-089

The article explains the meaning of strategy documents covering forces' deployment in future operations, i.e. operational concepts and aspects of their development. The authors concentrate first on approaches to their optimal structures and use history examples taken from both Alliance and Czech environments. Secondly they discuss the latest initiatives of this kind in NATO, the formation of a document under the title "Framework for Future Alliance Operations (FFAO)". After its approval, this document is going to be a crucial groundwork for all defence planning, not only in the Alliance scope, but in every member state. The scientific attitudes and employed methods of introducing the FFAO are closely watched by the Czech security community, mainly by the specialists of defence department, with the aim to adjust them into the processing of individual national documents.

The Czechoslovak Independent Brigade of Jan Žižka in Yugoslavia - Neglected Component of Anti-fascist Resistance

Nonreviewed - Other

Ing. Pavel Zona, Ph.D.

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 2/2014, Vol. XXIII. (LV.): 146-153 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.23.2014.02.146-153

During the Second World War, the Czechs and the Slovaks joined anti-fascist resistance on many fronts. The battlefield in the former Yugoslavia was in terms of numbers of combatants third most important. The relationship of politicians, historians and media, to various components of our resistance reflected changes in the political orientation of Czechoslovakia, or the Czech Republic. The share of the Czechs and the Slovaks, settled in Slavonia, in the liberation of Yugoslavia and the defeat of Germany was always "politically" complicated. But nobody can dispute its importance and scope, heroism of members the National Liberation Army of Yugoslavia, natives of Bohemia, Moravia and Slovakia. In October 2013, we marked the seventieth anniversary of this unit.

Information Operations on the Background of Contemporary Armed Conflicts

Reviewed - Review

Mjr. Ing. Tomáš Novák

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 4/2014, Vol. XXIII. (LV.): 51-62 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.23.2014.04.051-062

The article presents the theory of information operations on the background of contemporary armed conflicts in Ukraine, Iraq and Syria. In the introduction, information is presented as a phenomenon and the accelerator of social development. It outlines basic information channels that deliver security information to their recipients. Furthermore, the article discusses security and operational environment and also vulnerabilities being caused by increasing dependence on information. The core of the article are information operations presented in theory with the author's commentary on real application in military practice and in terms of the Czech Armed Forces. As part of information operations are subsequently introduced psychological operations, computer network operations and electronic warfare. The article ends with real examples of information and psychological operations in modern warfare, and conditions of their management in the Czech Armed Forces. The conclusion summarizes the general idea of the security environment and information operations, and stresses the importance of information operations in current and future conflicts.

Military Review: How to Continue (The Case of Decision-Making Analysis)

Nonreviewed - Other

Prof. PhDr. František Ochrana, DrSc.

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 1/2014, Vol. XXIII. (LV.): 178-187

This polemics is written by Prof. Fr. Ochrana, both reader and author of the Military Review quarterly. It is a response to the article in No 4, 2013, by Vl. Karaffa, editorial board chairman. Prof. Ochrana generally supports his conclusions concerning the further survival of this Czech Military Review. According to him, the review has indispensable role in the spectrum of both civilian and military professional journals. He recommends to evaluate the problem of its existence upon the principles of cost/benefit analysis, with regard to the so-called socials costs, the key steps of which he enumerates.

Long-term planning - theory and practice

Nonreviewed - Other

Ing. Vladimír KARAFFA, CSc.

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 3/2013, Vol. XXII. (LIV.): 3-14 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.22.2013.03.003-014

The article deals with some aspects of long-term planning in the sector of theMinistry of Defence. Its aim is to stimulate discussion about the methods and processes of long-term planning, to point out some shortcomings in the development of strategic documents in the past. The text also describes the basis for long-term planning process and particularly the role of long-term foresight. The author analyses lessons learned from the developing and implementation of Long-Term Vision of the Ministry of Defence document (2008) and tries to aply them in drafting a new document, The Long-Term Vision for Defence in 2030, is now being prepared under the leadership of the Ministry of Defence of the Czech Republic. He also highlights some of the theoretical principles for developing documents in the process of strategic management.

Russia's New Generation Warfare and Latvia

Nonreviewed - Other

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 3/2014, Vol. XXIII. (LV.): 112-122

Russia's actions in the Ukraine have changed the security situation in the Baltic region, which makes NATO's long-term presence in Latvia essential for the Latvian Republic. The impacts of Russian actions on Latvian defence policy are discussed in the paper by Mr Janis Berzinš,Managing Director of the Centre for Security and Defence Research, National Defence Academy of Latvia, in Policy Paper, No. 2, 2014. It is a new way of intervention, new-generation warfare, without the employment of armed combats, using mostly influence and coercion, by means of covert operations. Abridged and adapted. The original English text is available at http://www.naa.mil.lv/~/media/NAA/AZPC/Publikacijas/PP%2002-2014.ashx. Even though the study came into being in April 2014, the editors regard it worthy to be published, being timeless and with general validity.

The White Paper and Preparing National Defence

Nonreviewed - Other

Mgr. František Šulc

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 2/2013, Vol. XXII. (LIV.): 3-14

The White Paper on Defence was approved by the Government of the Czech Republic on 18 May 2011. The article describes a circumstances of the document development and its substance and role in the family of the defence strategic documents. In addition, the article highlights some important measures of the White Paper that has been implemented in practice. The author who was a member of the committee, responsible for development, and an editor of the White Paper, responds to some voices, claiming that the document has not come up to expectations and it is not usable for the future of the Czech Armed Forces. The author presents his lessons learned from the development and implementation of the document and describes some recommendations for the future.

Priorities for 21st Century: U.S. Security Strategy after 2008

Reviewed - Review

Doc. PhDr. Jan Eichler, CSc.

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 1/2013, Vol. XXII. (LIV.): 29-40 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.22.2013.01.029-040

The re-election of Barrack Obama implies that the President preferring political solutions to military ones will have remained for the next four years in the White House. As far U. S. strategy culture is concerned, without doubts American armed forces are going to be prepared to be modern, strong, agile and capable to meet the U.S. National Security strategy goals whatever and wherever they might be. Simultaneously, Obama´s programme for his second term presupposes to close down several military bases all around the world, together with reductions in the size of forces, manpower. Only the most important will be preserved. The further development will be therefore predestined by necessary quantitative reductions, but at the same time by qualitative updating American armed forces, and by the stress on power projection capabilities to take an active approach to counter any threats worldwide.

Prospective Horizons of Further Cooperation between NATO and the EU

Reviewed - Review

plukovník gšt. Ing. Zdeněk Petráš

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 3/2014, Vol. XXIII. (LV.): 22-30 | DOI: 10.3849/1210-3292.23.2014.03.022-030

At present, it can be seen a tangible progress in the NATO-EU common approach to deal with challenging security issues. Paradoxically, it has been economic recession in combination with growing danger of arising armed conflicts, specifically on the European continent territory, to start up the closer cooperation between NATO and the EU. Logically, the current security situation ended in conclusions that the complementarity between NATO and the EU became a real necessity and only interaction between the Alliance and Union?s security and defence policies could bring required effects, while upholding global and local security stability. The article is available only in the Czech language. For more information please contact editors.

Common European Armed Forces: Reality, or Utopia?

Reviewed - Review

Plukovník gšt. Ing. Zdeněk Petráš

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 2/2014, Vol. XXIII. (LV.): 101-108 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.23.2014.02.101-108

The consequences of economic recession and their impact on national defence budgets can indeed heavily hamper the credibility of both NATO and the EU. A need for coping with budget restrictions and ongoing security crisis in the Ukraine re-opens the issue of common European armed forces as an effective tool for keeping security stability not only in Europe, but also around the world. However, the key issue is to what extent it is feasible to develop autonomous European armed forces operating independently of transatlantic allies, while there is a very strong NATO-EU interconnection in the area of military capability development.

The Use of Simulation Technologies in the Preparation for New Types of Operations

Reviewed - Review

mjr. Ing. Martin Hubáček, Ph.D., dr. Drahomír Hausner, doc. Ing. Vladimír Vráb, CSc.

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 1/2013, Vol. XXII. (LIV.): 149-159 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.22.2013.01.149-159

The article deals with using of simulation technology for training commanders and staffs in new types of operations. It summaries the overall development in the area, occurred since the establishment of the Center of Simulation and Training Technologies. There are presented turning points in training on simulators, i. e. requirements for combat in urban area, special operations of small units, of ground forces interaction with supporting units, the use of command and control systems and the cooperation between the military and rescue workers. It also points to the new requirements in the fields of training and shows possible ways of their solution. The second part deals with problems of NEC and its implementation into simulation systems. The article presents the results of SIMNEC defence research and its contribution to the future expansion of the capabilities of tactical simulator.

Operational Planning

Military art

Ing. Jaroslav Kulíšek

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 1/2012, Vol. XXI. (LIII.): 56-78 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.21.2012.01.056-078

The article shows that Czech armed forces are supposed to develop planning mechanism according to the Alliance Comprehensive Operations Planning Directive (COPD) to be fully interoperable in operation planning process (OPP), namely in field operations planning in the framework of the multinational missions abroad. However, some problems persist at the operational level of crisis management, such as institutional arrangements for planning and commanding crisis operations, procedures pertaining to force generation, synchronization and activities coordination. The Czech Army Operational Planning Doctrine is still being developed. The purpose of this article is to inform on current state of affairs in operational planning with subsequent consequences to the results and reform recommendations by the White Paper on Defence.

The Draft Proposal for Army Accoutrements Regulation

Reviewed - Review

kpt. Ing. Michal Zelenák, doc. Ing. Miroslav Pecina CSc.

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 3/2014, Vol. XXIII. (LV.): 137-145 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.23.2014.03.137-145

The article introduces a variant of alternative accoutrements provided to the soldiers of the Army of the Czech Republic to replenish and compensate individual standardized items. The article proposes changes in furnishing soldiers, so that they would take into account their individual occupational specialities and predominant types of used military uniforms. Even though the authors use a simplified model in this paper, the final version of accoutrement modification represents the updating of the current law regulations.

What A Commander Needs from System of Education? (Response to an article by Brig.Gen. Zůna and Lt.Col. Pernica in Military Review No. 3, 2010)

Opinions, controversy

Podplukovník gšt. prof. MUDr. Jan Österreicher, Ph.D.

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 4/2010, Vol. XIX. (LI.): 80-81

The author, director of military hospital base, reacts favourably to the article mentioned above. He would like to add something from the practical point of military commander. In his unit, there is a deficiency of attested graduated surgeons, whereas there are a lot of graduated nurses, rescue workers, because of a wide offer of civil colleges and universities. They study in their leisure time and thus gain higher educational background. In consequence, his unit does not need graduates from Defence University in Brno. He comes to the conclusion that necessary commissioned officers could be recruited from among ranks of non-commissioned officers or sergeants, by means of additional schooling and scholarships, or by recruiting graduates from civilian colleges and universities.

NATO and Energy Security

Nonreviewed - Other

Ing. René Nastoupil, CSc.

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 3/2014, Vol. XXIII. (LV.): 31-43 | DOI: 10.3849/1210-3292.23.2014.03.031-043

The article deals with the reasons why NATO is interested in energy security and main tasks which Alliance fulfils in this area. A special attention is paid to the energy dependence of the European member states of the Alliance, the increase of awareness about energy security, critical energy infrastructure protection and energy efficiency in the armed forces. The author elaborates the implementation of the energy security issues into the Alliance main activities, education and training in the field of energy security and cooperation with partner countries, other international organizations and private sector.

The article is available only in the Czech language. For more information please contact editors.

Perspectives of Development of Light Combat Units

Nonreviewed - Review

Nadporučík Ing. Pavel Zahradníček

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 2/2014, Vol. XXIII. (LV.): 109-116

The article identifies specific attributes which have influenced success of modern warfare conducted by infantry battalions and their sub-units. There are mentioned ways to suppress the negatives and opportunities to use positives. There is drafted a possible task organization structure of battalion which allows the variability, modularity and combat readiness, according to capabilities and statements catalogue. The author was inspired by his own experiences as an infantry unit commander. He uses his knowledge gained from military assignments. The article could be considered as topic for future discussions not only on academic but also on specialized level.

The Position of the Russian Federation to Western Military Interventions in 1999-2011

Reviewed - Review

Mgr. et Mgr. Lukáš Tichý

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 4/2013, Vol. XXII. (LIV.): 22-41 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.22.2013.04.022-041

On the one hand, Russia is among the countries which often criticize the Western-led military intervention. On the other hand, in the last twenty years, Russia has repeatedly approved using military force by the West against an individual state, endorsed by the United National Security Council. The main purpose of this article is therefore to describe and analyse Russian position towards four Western military interventions 1999-2011. Specifically, the article is focused on two military interventions without UN Security Council mandates (Federal Republic of Yugoslavia in 1999 and Iraq in 2003), the intervention with the expanded UN Security Council resolution (Afghanistan 2001) and the military intervention that was partially approved by the UN Security Council resolutions (Libya 2011).

Islamic Terrorism of Jemaah Islamiyah Organization as a Today's Topical Threat

Reviewed - Review

Ing. Michael Hrbata, MPA

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 1/2014, Vol. XXIII. (LV.): 42-49 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.23.2014.01.042-049

This paper refers about the threat of Islamic terrorism, its roots, motives, as well as its origins. Namely the author informs about the Jemaah Islamiyah, Islamic organization, which is less know in the Czech Republic. Indonesia has a larger Muslim population than any other country in the world, with approximately 202.9 million identified as Muslim (88,2 % of Indonesia´s population). It is generally regarded as a tolerant country, in which various religions living side by side without larger problems. Nevertheless even here the danger of violent Islamic terrorism has arisen. The theme is treated in a proper historical context, with regards to possible impacts on security situation in the world.

European Gendarmerie Force - Myths and Reality

Reviewed - Review

Mgr. Oldřich Krulík, Ph.D., Mgr. Jan Tvrdek

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 2/2013, Vol. XXII. (LIV.): 182-193 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.22.2013.02.182-193

During the first half of 2010, many Internet sites in the Czech Republic and abroad published a number of alarming articles about the platform, called the European Gendarmerie Force (EUROGENDFOR, EGF). Their authors refer to this unit as the basis for a new "Holy Alliance", when the gendarmerie from one member state will be going to suppress unrests in another member state - if the local task forces refuse to do so. This paper is trying to correct such speculations and summarizes available information about the respective unit.

Armament of Mechanized Force: Keeping on BVP-2 and the Vision of Development

Reviewed - Review

Nadporučík Mgr. et Mgr. Karel Zetocha, Ph.D.

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 4/2013, Vol. XXII. (LIV.): 81-90 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.22.2013.04.081-090

The article is an analysis of the further development of mechanized battalions of Czech forces (ACR). The defence department will have to take a major decision how to replace old tracked infantry combat vehicles (ICVs) BVP-2. Several years ago, it was decided to acquire those vehicles for one brigade, so the best option could be to keep this project on. The acquisition and simultaneous operations of two similar vehicles, wheeled and tracked ones, are not effective for forces of ACR size. The extra costs of operation would not produce an adequate increase in capabilities of mechanized units. The author presents dozens of arguments to support this conclusion and at the end he makes recommendations for the future acquisition strategy in Czech defence department.

Horizon 2030: The Risk-Laden Future of Global Security

Reviewed - Review

PhDr. Miloš Balabán, Ph.D.

Vojenské rozhledy / Czech Military Review Nr. 2/2013, Vol. XXII. (LIV.): 69-87 | DOI: 10.3849/2336-2995.22.2013.02.069-087

The article analyzes several key conclusions of US National Intelligence Council's study "Global Trends 2030: Alternative Worlds", published in December 2012. Primarily it focuses on: the diffusion of global power influencing political, economic and security development on both global and regional scales; rising importance of the Asia-Pacific region for global economy and security; Sino-American security relations; the role that the United States and Europe should be played in the changing geopolitical reality. The conclusions offer the author's own interpretation of certain development trajectories, based on his earlier published monographs, studies and articles.

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